{ "ticker": { "uuid": "df4c98ca-155c-466f-a9f6-f90514e2e398", "symbol": "WLDD", "name": "Amundi MSCI World Swap II UCITS ETF Dist", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 88.208, "architecture_energy": 67.636, "architecture_maturity": 57.857, "architecture_confidence": 76.306, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 15.19, "rotation_up": 57.2, "upward_expansion": 81.97, "deceleration": 68.23, "rotation_down": 26.75, "downward_expansion": 10.97 }, "activity_lines": [ 487.993333, 485.116362, 480.272618, 471.761666 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 501.0, "trend_reference": 462.189998, "distance_from_trend": 0.08397, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 376.214684, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.331686, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 3.295876, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.119178, "excess_performance": 0.067943, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.08397, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.035989, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.331686, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.013764, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.032959, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.017388, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.119178, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 5.389984, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 5589, "relative_activity": 1.028515, "balance": 5.389984, "dry_up": 0.831976, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.016102, "annualized_volatility": 0.128794, "from_high_reference": 0.0, "from_low_reference": 0.231687 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 462.189998, "fair_value_reference": 376.214684, "structural_low": 415.100006, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 42, "median_return": 0.012538, "positive_rate": 0.619048, "directional_follow_through": 0.619048, "median_excess_return": -0.001445, "regime_survival": 0.761905, "best_return": 0.056012, "worst_return": -0.088027, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 15, "median_return": 0.033661, "positive_rate": 0.733333, "directional_follow_through": 0.733333, "median_excess_return": 0.006726, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.119696, "worst_return": -0.099806, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.098994, "positive_rate": 0.888889, "directional_follow_through": 0.888889, "median_excess_return": 0.039182, "regime_survival": 0.777778, "best_return": 0.119178, "worst_return": -0.169564, "sufficient": true }, { 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"typical_volume": 5042.95, "trend": 456.325832, "fair_value": 371.167951, "relative_strength": 4.116604, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 72.746146, "energy": 65.040414, "activity_lines": [ 482.563332, 481.489545, 471.991904, 464.626343 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 481.399994, "volume": 2083, "typical_volume": 5036.5, "trend": 457.779999, "fair_value": 372.388588, "relative_strength": 2.152287, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.380756, "energy": 59.872386, "activity_lines": [ 482.49833, 481.722726, 473.881427, 466.244031 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 480.625, "volume": 5825, "typical_volume": 5279.7, "trend": 459.043332, "fair_value": 373.589474, "relative_strength": 0.692288, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.111698, "energy": 57.912244, "activity_lines": [ 482.061664, 481.676817, 475.555475, 467.717902 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 481.125, "volume": 4587, "typical_volume": 5473.85, "trend": 460.403332, "fair_value": 374.825345, "relative_strength": -0.45012, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 58.846784, "energy": 51.72767, "activity_lines": [ 481.904999, 481.598635, 477.086904, 469.142526 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 501.0, "volume": 5589, "typical_volume": 5434.05, "trend": 462.189998, "fair_value": 376.214684, "relative_strength": 3.295876, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 88.20802, "energy": 67.635833, "activity_lines": [ 487.993333, 485.116362, 480.272618, 471.761666 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }