{ "ticker": { "uuid": "df4e87f2-c9fc-45b3-9aff-1e0419d59a3c", "symbol": "KPRX", "name": "Kiora Pharmaceuticals Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 94.974, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 53.665, "architecture_energy": 29.913, "architecture_maturity": 42.944, "architecture_confidence": 64.202, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 35.01, "rotation_up": 43.04, "upward_expansion": 73.86, "deceleration": 63.39, "rotation_down": 22.93, "downward_expansion": 2.86 }, "activity_lines": [ 2.590667, 2.578364, 2.546857, 2.459785 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 2.64, "trend_reference": 2.352333, "distance_from_trend": 0.12229, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 3.563518, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.259159, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -2.607424, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.227907, "excess_performance": 0.040453, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.12229, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.073553, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.259159, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.129109, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.026074, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.156618, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.227907, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.53255, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 101186, "relative_activity": 0.063982, "balance": 2.53255, "dry_up": 0.074018, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.094607, "annualized_volatility": 0.45559, "from_high_reference": -0.122924, "from_low_reference": 0.496175 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 2.352333, "fair_value_reference": 3.563518, "structural_low": 1.77, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.011719, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.043884, "regime_survival": 0.8, "best_return": 0.077863, "worst_return": -0.334278, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.356767, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.373179, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.356767, "worst_return": -0.356767, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.385965, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.435032, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.385965, "worst_return": -0.385965, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"direction": 53.956964, "energy": 30.360421, "activity_lines": [ 2.566667, 2.558727, 2.458286, 2.370505 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 2.51, "volume": 53284, "typical_volume": 1584265.5, "trend": 2.283, "fair_value": 3.631171, "relative_strength": -9.950512, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 38.873541, "energy": 25.150157, "activity_lines": [ 2.553333, 2.553636, 2.474619, 2.385957 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 2.63, "volume": 181898, "typical_volume": 1589132.25, "trend": 2.298667, "fair_value": 3.612377, "relative_strength": -0.602534, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 54.625359, "energy": 32.251699, "activity_lines": [ 2.579333, 2.569091, 2.499857, 2.408344 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 2.55, "volume": 155134, "typical_volume": 1589227.9, "trend": 2.318, "fair_value": 3.595261, "relative_strength": -1.278374, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 48.237339, "energy": 28.390881, "activity_lines": [ 2.573333, 2.566727, 2.514905, 2.424559 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 2.56, "volume": 30019, "typical_volume": 1584943.4, "trend": 2.336, "fair_value": 3.578325, "relative_strength": -0.988143, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 46.406306, "energy": 25.163918, "activity_lines": [ 2.569333, 2.565273, 2.52819, 2.440172 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 2.64, "volume": 101186, "typical_volume": 1581487.55, "trend": 2.352333, "fair_value": 3.563518, "relative_strength": -2.607424, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 53.664827, "energy": 29.913466, "activity_lines": [ 2.590667, 2.578364, 2.546857, 2.459785 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }