{ "ticker": { "uuid": "df620ccb-000e-4ef7-87ae-de8eab69743d", "symbol": "600970", "name": "Sinoma International Engineering Co.,Ltd", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -48.791, "architecture_energy": 47.738, "architecture_maturity": 89.577, "architecture_confidence": 91.216, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 20.85, "rotation_up": 27.88, "upward_expansion": 21.55, "deceleration": 46.96, "rotation_down": 38.97, "downward_expansion": 69.21 }, "activity_lines": [ 7.748, 7.683789, 8.042835, 8.584357 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 7.83, "trend_reference": 9.290603, "distance_from_trend": -0.157213, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 9.623933, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.186403, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -15.47546, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.314361, "excess_performance": -0.271157, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.157213, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.064264, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.186403, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.068384, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.154755, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.005463, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.314361, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.812568, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 105268342, "relative_activity": 1.054506, "balance": 0.812568, "dry_up": 1.068635, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.056795, "annualized_volatility": 0.308263, "from_high_reference": -0.325581, "from_low_reference": 0.110638 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 9.290603, "fair_value_reference": 9.623933, "structural_low": 7.05, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 20, "median_return": 0.02063, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.002429, "regime_survival": 0.7, "best_return": 0.169719, "worst_return": -0.178794, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.077478, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": 0.017705, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.545555, "worst_return": -0.212786, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.041922, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.09565, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.404744, "worst_return": 0.014909, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 3, 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91.47349, "activity_lines": [ 7.47, 7.823065, 8.490084, 9.038771 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 7.41, "volume": 98124838, "typical_volume": 99427560.15, "trend": 9.536936, "fair_value": 9.69353, "relative_strength": -17.364148, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.19183, "energy": 87.801304, "activity_lines": [ 7.379333, 7.705422, 8.322665, 8.897528 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 7.71, "volume": 123270862, "typical_volume": 100366056.35, "trend": 9.45127, "fair_value": 9.668711, "relative_strength": -14.771862, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.196288, "energy": 83.036557, "activity_lines": [ 7.454667, 7.667002, 8.201293, 8.779661 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 7.97, "volume": 100051284, "typical_volume": 99676513.25, "trend": 9.375936, "fair_value": 9.646682, "relative_strength": -11.948242, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.066954, "energy": 61.5914, "activity_lines": [ 7.647333, 7.686814, 8.120683, 8.684095 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 7.83, "volume": 105268342, "typical_volume": 99827175.0, "trend": 9.290603, "fair_value": 9.623933, "relative_strength": -15.47546, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -48.790993, "energy": 47.7382, "activity_lines": [ 7.748, 7.683789, 8.042835, 8.584357 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }