{ "ticker": { "uuid": "df6ed998-23eb-48ee-a56b-d148f19a33ee", "symbol": "002385", "name": "Beijing Dabeinong Technology Group Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -48.326, "architecture_energy": 49.912, "architecture_maturity": 99.262, "architecture_confidence": 91.201, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 24.54, "rotation_up": 27.82, "upward_expansion": 22.19, "deceleration": 47.0, "rotation_down": 37.26, "downward_expansion": 67.52 }, "activity_lines": [ 2.998667, 2.967455, 3.16381, 3.376151 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 2.99, "trend_reference": 3.638667, "distance_from_trend": -0.17827, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 4.471653, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.331343, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -25.109947, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.348584, "excess_performance": -0.355984, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.17827, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.090419, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.331343, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.139794, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.251099, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.01284, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.348584, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.470839, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 337144866, "relative_activity": 1.122741, "balance": 0.470839, "dry_up": 1.092573, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 6 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.063802, "annualized_volatility": 0.304604, "from_high_reference": -0.371849, "from_low_reference": 0.111524 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 3.638667, "fair_value_reference": 4.471653, "structural_low": 2.69, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 28, "median_return": -0.004798, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.016148, "regime_survival": 0.678571, "best_return": 0.258993, "worst_return": -0.191045, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": -0.040621, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.070534, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.303448, "worst_return": -0.215938, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.071896, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": -0.162109, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.358273, "worst_return": -0.315122, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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"downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.115386, "energy": 87.137328, "activity_lines": [ 2.901333, 3.043818, 3.367286, 3.563226 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 3.02, "volume": 407317246, "typical_volume": 423353509.15, "trend": 3.740333, "fair_value": 4.54326, "relative_strength": -23.556367, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.239246, "energy": 66.350286, "activity_lines": [ 2.940667, 3.008364, 3.310286, 3.514667 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 2.93, "volume": 334438149, "typical_volume": 364940132.9, "trend": 3.704333, "fair_value": 4.518674, "relative_strength": -25.383339, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.468052, "energy": 63.853402, "activity_lines": [ 2.949333, 2.971636, 3.249619, 3.462387 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 3.05, "volume": 233443559, "typical_volume": 322857087.95, "trend": 3.672333, "fair_value": 4.495792, "relative_strength": -20.389447, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -51.035237, "energy": 53.685876, "activity_lines": [ 2.995333, 2.971273, 3.206619, 3.420172 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 2.99, "volume": 337144866, "typical_volume": 300287396.0, "trend": 3.638667, "fair_value": 4.471653, "relative_strength": -25.109947, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -48.325672, "energy": 49.912233, "activity_lines": [ 2.998667, 2.967455, 3.16381, 3.376151 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }