{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "df72043d-986c-4cfe-acff-baa4721b8689",
    "symbol": "FCUQ",
    "name": "Fidelity U.S. High Quality ETF",
    "exchange": "TOR",
    "country": "CA",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GSPTSE",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 94.477,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 85.66,
    "architecture_energy": 66.265,
    "architecture_maturity": 57.536,
    "architecture_confidence": 68.183,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 15.02,
        "rotation_up": 54.56,
        "upward_expansion": 82.39,
        "deceleration": 70.31,
        "rotation_down": 27.84,
        "downward_expansion": 11.39
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        75.221336,
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        71.668629
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 77.440002,
    "trend_reference": 70.023325,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.105917,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 61.843665,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.25219,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -1.453368,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.133917,
    "excess_performance": 0.013496,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.105917,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.022368,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.25219,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.071096,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.014534,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.066809,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.133917,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 3.618644,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 10500,
      "relative_activity": 0.921053,
      "balance": 3.618644,
      "dry_up": 0.995614,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.021967,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.15774,
      "from_high_reference": 0.0,
      "from_low_reference": 0.236271
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    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 70.023325,
      "fair_value_reference": 61.843665,
      "structural_low": 62.639999,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 41,
        "median_return": 0.009637,
        "positive_rate": 0.658537,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.658537,
        "median_excess_return": -0.000437,
        "regime_survival": 0.804878,
        "best_return": 0.058643,
        "worst_return": -0.058477,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 14,
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        "positive_rate": 0.785714,
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        "sufficient": true
      },
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        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "worst_return": -0.144492,
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": -0.051494,
        "sufficient": false
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        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "end": "2025-05-16",
        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "balance",
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        "end": "2025-07-04",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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        "date": "2026-05-01",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "stage": 3,
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      },
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        "stage": 3,
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        "modifier": "Structural repair",
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      },
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        "typical_volume": 20490.0,
        "trend": 68.423626,
        "fair_value": 59.834793,
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        "stage": 3,
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        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
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        "direction": 42.270655,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "typical_volume": 14705.0,
        "trend": 68.569522,
        "fair_value": 60.199986,
        "relative_strength": -5.473364,
        "stage": 3,
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        "energy": 72.099363,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 72.637497,
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        "typical_volume": 13705.0,
        "trend": 68.661622,
        "fair_value": 60.377591,
        "relative_strength": -5.867936,
        "stage": 3,
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        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "relative_strength": -3.320744,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "typical_volume": 12635.0,
        "trend": 68.911264,
        "fair_value": 60.748587,
        "relative_strength": -4.860925,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 66.906375,
        "energy": 83.911348,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 76.110001,
        "volume": 4400,
        "typical_volume": 12320.0,
        "trend": 69.107614,
        "fair_value": 60.946328,
        "relative_strength": -1.440504,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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        "energy": 92.39509,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "typical_volume": 12330.0,
        "trend": 69.303337,
        "fair_value": 61.13173,
        "relative_strength": -2.357817,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 75.099106,
        "energy": 87.823425,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 73.690002,
        "volume": 12200,
        "typical_volume": 12235.0,
        "trend": 69.434241,
        "fair_value": 61.304513,
        "relative_strength": -4.075225,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 65.505815,
        "energy": 69.535688,
        "activity_lines": [
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          70.586809
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 73.980003,
        "volume": 10200,
        "typical_volume": 12060.0,
        "trend": 69.566356,
        "fair_value": 61.473921,
        "relative_strength": -3.700458,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 63.644161,
        "energy": 62.468532,
        "activity_lines": [
          74.395335,
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          70.880084
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 74.120003,
        "volume": 12500,
        "typical_volume": 11625.0,
        "trend": 69.771194,
        "fair_value": 61.648375,
        "relative_strength": -2.83162,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 59.594303,
        "energy": 53.635037,
        "activity_lines": [
          74.289336,
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          72.645854,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 77.440002,
        "volume": 10500,
        "typical_volume": 11400.0,
        "trend": 70.023325,
        "fair_value": 61.843665,
        "relative_strength": -1.453368,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 85.660407,
        "energy": 66.264813,
        "activity_lines": [
          75.221336,
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        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}