{ "ticker": { "uuid": "df7855e5-0575-4403-9ebf-5034a19b6e33", "symbol": "000919", "name": "Jinling Pharmaceutical Company Limited", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -40.762, "architecture_energy": 29.283, "architecture_maturity": 66.122, "architecture_confidence": 79.762, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 28.46, "rotation_up": 27.75, "upward_expansion": 21.96, "deceleration": 44.55, "rotation_down": 27.43, "downward_expansion": 58.29 }, "activity_lines": [ 6.274, 6.189481, 6.358573, 6.609882 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 6.45, "trend_reference": 6.953349, "distance_from_trend": -0.07239, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 6.923211, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.068351, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -11.931518, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.152431, "excess_performance": -0.159831, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.07239, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.055892, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.068351, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.086487, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.119315, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.074637, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.152431, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.608646, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 52804310, "relative_activity": 0.503355, "balance": 0.608646, "dry_up": 0.65308, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.051079, "annualized_volatility": 0.26919, "from_high_reference": -0.341837, "from_low_reference": 0.115917 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 6.953349, "fair_value_reference": 6.923211, "structural_low": 5.78, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 17, "median_return": 0.043981, "positive_rate": 0.588235, "directional_follow_through": 0.411765, "median_excess_return": 0.018356, "regime_survival": 0.647059, "best_return": 0.122779, "worst_return": -0.126866, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.043849, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.060875, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.155089, "worst_return": -0.049237, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.058156, "positive_rate": 0.8, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": 0.143964, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.098215, "worst_return": -0.007463, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"relative_strength": -16.002464, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -57.27063, "energy": 61.014194, "activity_lines": [ 6.110667, 6.10078, 6.420768, 6.69468 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 6.29, "volume": 49973936, "typical_volume": 103985597.2, "trend": 7.003349, "fair_value": 6.930186, "relative_strength": -10.23357, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -46.615476, "energy": 48.909004, "activity_lines": [ 6.182667, 6.129091, 6.37948, 6.645582 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 6.45, "volume": 52804310, "typical_volume": 104904700.45, "trend": 6.953349, "fair_value": 6.923211, "relative_strength": -11.931518, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -40.761525, "energy": 29.282827, "activity_lines": [ 6.274, 6.189481, 6.358573, 6.609882 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }