{ "ticker": { "uuid": "df796741-4d4b-47ae-9414-dbdd1bbe415a", "symbol": "1464", "name": "De Licacy Industrial Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "TAI", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 49.791, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -19.963, "architecture_energy": 11.033, "architecture_maturity": 21.453, "architecture_confidence": 56.824, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 53.21, "rotation_up": 26.49, "upward_expansion": 23.32, "deceleration": 33.53, "rotation_down": 30.45, "downward_expansion": 52.65 }, "activity_lines": [ 10.306667, 10.312226, 10.207946, 10.223746 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 10.2, "trend_reference": 10.359686, "distance_from_trend": -0.015414, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 12.077497, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.155454, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -32.163356, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.058885, "excess_performance": -0.500257, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.015414, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.018811, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.155454, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.047978, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.321634, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.08979, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.058885, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.551352, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1573440, "relative_activity": 0.648807, "balance": 1.551352, "dry_up": 0.737074, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.042248, "annualized_volatility": 0.190009, "from_high_reference": -0.140216, "from_low_reference": 0.056256 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 10.359686, "fair_value_reference": 12.077497, "structural_low": 9.656746, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 15, "median_return": -0.013274, "positive_rate": 0.266667, "directional_follow_through": 0.266667, "median_excess_return": -0.042252, "regime_survival": 0.466667, "best_return": 0.071161, "worst_return": -0.052786, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.04, "positive_rate": 0.285714, "directional_follow_through": 0.285714, "median_excess_return": -0.075917, "regime_survival": 0.142857, "best_return": 0.060498, "worst_return": -0.138172, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.066239, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.099819, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.120996, 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"fair_value": 12.117695, "relative_strength": -30.741972, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -0.752461, "energy": 17.864029, "activity_lines": [ 10.376431, 10.284528, 10.159014, 10.242566 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 10.35, "volume": 2383952, "typical_volume": 2481116.05, "trend": 10.395605, "fair_value": 12.104962, "relative_strength": -29.158182, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -5.243062, "energy": 16.607361, "activity_lines": [ 10.382862, 10.311136, 10.179932, 10.238468 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 10.35, "volume": 1485774, "typical_volume": 2446553.9, "trend": 10.382587, "fair_value": 12.091451, "relative_strength": -29.813993, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -5.173067, "energy": 9.999727, "activity_lines": [ 10.356745, 10.328868, 10.201314, 10.235526 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 10.2, "volume": 1573440, "typical_volume": 2425126.8, "trend": 10.359686, "fair_value": 12.077497, "relative_strength": -32.163356, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -19.963416, "energy": 11.033042, "activity_lines": [ 10.306667, 10.312226, 10.207946, 10.223746 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }