{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "df81a651-76f1-48e7-93cb-3d0529a3fd57",
    "symbol": "NSTS",
    "name": "NSTS Bancorp Inc",
    "exchange": "NASDAQ",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "QQQ",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 66.804,
    "architecture_energy": 82.833,
    "architecture_maturity": 58.345,
    "architecture_confidence": 83.508,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 3.33,
        "rotation_up": 55.38,
        "upward_expansion": 97.42,
        "deceleration": 41.92,
        "rotation_down": 29.94,
        "downward_expansion": 21.75
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        13.8,
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        13.604405,
        13.287068
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 13.805,
    "trend_reference": 12.940377,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.066816,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 11.115888,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.241916,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -2.371673,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.122358,
    "excess_performance": -0.065096,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.066816,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.055348,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.241916,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.062286,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.023717,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.103075,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.122358,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.023525,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 29029,
      "relative_activity": 0.477591,
      "balance": 2.023525,
      "dry_up": 0.676309,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.012795,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.201678,
      "from_high_reference": -0.002529,
      "from_low_reference": 0.28778
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    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 12.940377,
      "fair_value_reference": 11.115888,
      "structural_low": 11.5,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
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    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 21,
        "median_return": 0.003644,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.004493,
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        "best_return": 0.084585,
        "worst_return": -0.0528,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "worst_return": -0.04255,
        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "worst_return": 0.025,
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 50.005733,
        "energy": 39.750792,
        "activity_lines": [
          12.510667,
          12.261545,
          12.273484,
          12.176155
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 12.65,
        "volume": 8900,
        "typical_volume": 18459.7,
        "trend": 11.999003,
        "fair_value": 10.723704,
        "relative_strength": -12.679222,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 57.203114,
        "energy": 47.533557,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 13.65,
        "volume": 397206,
        "typical_volume": 36253.35,
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        "fair_value": 10.755467,
        "relative_strength": -5.185462,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 84.504469,
        "energy": 80.228904,
        "activity_lines": [
          13.003333,
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          12.430758,
          12.327574
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 41413.2,
        "trend": 12.176043,
        "fair_value": 10.78739,
        "relative_strength": -4.544781,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 87.430105,
        "energy": 87.368635,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 13.77,
        "volume": 32150,
        "typical_volume": 42199.1,
        "trend": 12.26171,
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 78.685446,
        "energy": 87.862173,
        "activity_lines": [
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          12.543848
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 13.72,
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        "typical_volume": 46105.0,
        "trend": 12.352377,
        "fair_value": 10.848544,
        "relative_strength": -2.824163,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 70.831566,
        "energy": 86.291542,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 13.77,
        "volume": 48390,
        "typical_volume": 48410.05,
        "trend": 12.444377,
        "fair_value": 10.875915,
        "relative_strength": -4.26808,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 69.007249,
        "energy": 83.896049,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "typical_volume": 52023.15,
        "trend": 12.532377,
        "fair_value": 10.906404,
        "relative_strength": -6.506015,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 66.293955,
        "energy": 72.828797,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "volume": 43283,
        "typical_volume": 53764.85,
        "trend": 12.618377,
        "fair_value": 10.936148,
        "relative_strength": -1.523304,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 66.758034,
        "energy": 60.278589,
        "activity_lines": [
          13.758667,
          13.636364,
          13.125387,
          12.893472
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 13.77,
        "volume": 42904,
        "typical_volume": 55427.2,
        "trend": 12.68871,
        "fair_value": 10.965251,
        "relative_strength": -2.177061,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 65.265158,
        "energy": 58.049507,
        "activity_lines": [
          13.763333,
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          13.220714,
          12.96777
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 13.78,
        "volume": 21333,
        "typical_volume": 55985.75,
        "trend": 12.754543,
        "fair_value": 10.995892,
        "relative_strength": -3.590899,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 64.922249,
        "energy": 57.152782,
        "activity_lines": [
          13.771333,
          13.744,
          13.309548,
          13.038176
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 13.81,
        "volume": 29440,
        "typical_volume": 57169.8,
        "trend": 12.814543,
        "fair_value": 11.026084,
        "relative_strength": 1.023131,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 67.773365,
        "energy": 78.287971,
        "activity_lines": [
          13.785333,
          13.773636,
          13.395143,
          13.10627
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 13.805,
        "volume": 55213,
        "typical_volume": 59627.05,
        "trend": 12.87371,
        "fair_value": 11.055696,
        "relative_strength": 2.74324,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 67.014307,
        "energy": 81.623977,
        "activity_lines": [
          13.795,
          13.781273,
          13.472833,
          13.17017
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 13.79,
        "volume": 50748,
        "typical_volume": 60742.25,
        "trend": 12.909377,
        "fair_value": 11.085792,
        "relative_strength": 2.277403,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 66.121851,
        "energy": 82.55444,
        "activity_lines": [
          13.795333,
          13.783364,
          13.54169,
          13.229286
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 13.805,
        "volume": 29029,
        "typical_volume": 60782.15,
        "trend": 12.940377,
        "fair_value": 11.115888,
        "relative_strength": -2.371673,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 66.803896,
        "energy": 82.83293,
        "activity_lines": [
          13.8,
          13.789091,
          13.604405,
          13.287068
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}