{ "ticker": { "uuid": "dfaaa486-d417-4877-a714-326359066caf", "symbol": "RXT", "name": "Rackspace Technology\u00a0Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 28.357, "architecture_energy": 20.206, "architecture_maturity": 69.712, "architecture_confidence": 93.695, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 49.82, "rotation_up": 22.33, "upward_expansion": 53.78, "deceleration": 90.53, "rotation_down": 32.11, "downward_expansion": 17.44 }, "activity_lines": [ 4.432, 4.882636, 4.710286, 4.032089 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 4.9, "trend_reference": 3.095423, "distance_from_trend": 0.582982, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 2.08277, "distance_from_fair_value": 1.352636, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 94.712063, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 9.88647, "excess_performance": 9.699016, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.582982, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.78678, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 1.352636, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.653977, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.947121, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -1.460063, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 9.88647, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.139647, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 36537990, "relative_activity": 0.396855, "balance": 1.139647, "dry_up": 0.501325, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.387562, "annualized_volatility": 2.763551, "from_high_reference": -0.430233, "from_low_reference": 11.468193 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 3.095423, "fair_value_reference": 2.08277, "structural_low": 0.393, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.002787, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.010216, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.203791, "worst_return": -0.082677, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.291299, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.151223, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.355932, "worst_return": 0.226667, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.08307, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.228048, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.315556, "worst_return": -0.481695, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 1.293682, 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"start": "2025-08-15", "end": "2025-09-05", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.196581, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-09-12", "end": "2025-09-26", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.041379, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-10-03", "end": "2025-10-24", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.165563, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-10-31", "end": "2025-11-21", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.340625, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-11-28", "end": "2025-12-19", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.028302, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-12-26", "end": "2026-02-13", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.573444, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", 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4.546369, 3.74934 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 3.94, "volume": 36831825, "typical_volume": 93895049.6, "trend": 2.860233, "fair_value": 2.052513, "relative_strength": 73.623525, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 34.45765, "energy": 19.591162, "activity_lines": [ 4.649333, 5.124636, 4.573952, 3.825357 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 4.13, "volume": 30896014, "typical_volume": 92482229.0, "trend": 2.965423, "fair_value": 2.065911, "relative_strength": 77.034367, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 28.944952, "energy": 20.044887, "activity_lines": [ 4.350667, 4.933455, 4.610726, 3.907278 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 4.9, "volume": 36537990, "typical_volume": 92068770.85, "trend": 3.095423, "fair_value": 2.08277, "relative_strength": 94.712063, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 28.356578, "energy": 20.206037, "activity_lines": [ 4.432, 4.882636, 4.710286, 4.032089 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }