{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "dfb1691a-e675-4b11-aa5a-967465d753e5",
    "symbol": "ELIX",
    "name": "Elixirr International plc",
    "exchange": "LSE",
    "country": "GB",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^FTSE",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -63.027,
    "architecture_energy": 59.814,
    "architecture_maturity": 16.619,
    "architecture_confidence": 82.314,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 13.3,
        "rotation_up": 11.56,
        "upward_expansion": 11.85,
        "deceleration": 39.69,
        "rotation_down": 72.18,
        "downward_expansion": 89.85
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 636.0,
    "trend_reference": 693.364834,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.082734,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 669.872072,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.050565,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -21.423672,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.15873,
    "excess_performance": -0.209965,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.082734,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.06877,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.050565,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.139195,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.214237,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.09492,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.15873,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.274025,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 753046,
      "relative_activity": 1.472056,
      "balance": 1.274025,
      "dry_up": 0.941967,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.06698,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.340599,
      "from_high_reference": -0.297657,
      "from_low_reference": 0.096552
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 693.364834,
      "fair_value_reference": 669.872072,
      "structural_low": 580.0,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 15,
        "median_return": 0.009901,
        "positive_rate": 0.6,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.4,
        "median_excess_return": 0.000472,
        "regime_survival": 0.666667,
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        "worst_return": -0.132565,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "worst_return": -0.068182,
        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 644.0,
        "volume": 304730,
        "typical_volume": 467499.1,
        "trend": 708.159395,
        "fair_value": 668.547488,
        "relative_strength": -20.128632,
        "stage": 4,
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        "energy": 57.210724,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 620.0,
        "volume": 690595,
        "typical_volume": 486033.05,
        "trend": 700.82875,
        "fair_value": 669.126466,
        "relative_strength": -23.579698,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -75.087274,
        "energy": 67.811326,
        "activity_lines": [
          642.170293,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 636.0,
        "volume": 753046,
        "typical_volume": 511560.6,
        "trend": 693.364834,
        "fair_value": 669.872072,
        "relative_strength": -21.423672,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -63.026803,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}