{ "ticker": { "uuid": "dff2420d-23da-4b72-81a9-8fc0a82e052d", "symbol": "WPRT", "name": "Westport Fuel Systems Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -23.865, "architecture_energy": 25.281, "architecture_maturity": 11.98, "architecture_confidence": 54.741, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 53.31, "rotation_up": 17.4, "upward_expansion": 8.43, "deceleration": 56.13, "rotation_down": 56.64, "downward_expansion": 45.43 }, "activity_lines": [ 1.874333, 1.976182, 2.000619, 1.997935 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 1.88, "trend_reference": 2.0005, "distance_from_trend": -0.060235, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 4.036782, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.534283, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -19.599225, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.015707, "excess_performance": -0.20316, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.060235, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.050315, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.534283, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.0311, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.195992, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.108903, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.015707, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 28.476289, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 240565, "relative_activity": 0.072872, "balance": 28.476289, "dry_up": 0.094796, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.150941, "annualized_volatility": 0.487275, "from_high_reference": -0.515464, "from_low_reference": 0.220779 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 2.0005, "fair_value_reference": 4.036782, "structural_low": 1.67, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 17, "median_return": -0.065, "positive_rate": 0.294118, "directional_follow_through": 0.294118, "median_excess_return": -0.068276, "regime_survival": 0.588235, "best_return": 0.263972, "worst_return": -0.225617, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.1635, "positive_rate": 0.125, "directional_follow_through": 0.125, "median_excess_return": -0.250352, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.041885, "worst_return": -0.352094, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.182979, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": -0.38762, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.123995, "worst_return": -0.358575, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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"typical_volume": 3283773.75, "trend": 1.9895, "fair_value": 4.18691, "relative_strength": -20.716527, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 33.062808, "energy": 19.23944, "activity_lines": [ 2.093, 2.080545, 2.045238, 2.025828 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 1.915, "volume": 243453, "typical_volume": 3286137.65, "trend": 1.999333, "fair_value": 4.131942, "relative_strength": -17.453793, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 16.318588, "energy": 12.962691, "activity_lines": [ 2.009667, 2.054636, 2.0355, 2.021022 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1.765, "volume": 395075, "typical_volume": 3300145.15, "trend": 2.0035, "fair_value": 4.076846, "relative_strength": -22.54881, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -22.841193, "energy": 22.752407, "activity_lines": [ 1.899333, 2.002818, 2.011881, 2.005903 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1.88, "volume": 240565, "typical_volume": 3301221.35, "trend": 2.0005, "fair_value": 4.036782, "relative_strength": -19.599225, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -23.865189, "energy": 25.28053, "activity_lines": [ 1.874333, 1.976182, 2.000619, 1.997935 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }