{ "ticker": { "uuid": "e002ada5-0755-4387-bcd2-3c4d7f5e91e3", "symbol": "002799", "name": "Xi'an Global Printing Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -61.317, "architecture_energy": 54.838, "architecture_maturity": 80.725, "architecture_confidence": 84.257, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 11.21, "rotation_up": 28.22, "upward_expansion": 14.64, "deceleration": 60.96, "rotation_down": 47.68, "downward_expansion": 76.64 }, "activity_lines": [ 6.301333, 6.307636, 6.888524, 7.361118 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 6.55, "trend_reference": 7.979, "distance_from_trend": -0.179095, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 8.33295, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.213964, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -23.116779, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.306878, "excess_performance": -0.314278, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.179095, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.087628, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.213964, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.220898, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.231168, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.060585, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.306878, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.459783, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 26038886, "relative_activity": 1.126846, "balance": 0.459783, "dry_up": 1.216345, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.087023, "annualized_volatility": 0.301088, "from_high_reference": -0.414132, "from_low_reference": 0.155203 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 7.979, "fair_value_reference": 8.33295, "structural_low": 5.67, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 28, "median_return": -0.004219, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": 0.016311, "regime_survival": 0.714286, "best_return": 0.170347, "worst_return": -0.157395, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": 0.004601, "positive_rate": 0.545455, "directional_follow_through": 0.454545, "median_excess_return": 0.014211, "regime_survival": 0.545455, "best_return": 0.343186, "worst_return": -0.40181, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.007807, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": 0.009439, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.239269, "worst_return": -0.333032, "sufficient": true }, { 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5.88, "volume": 34130176, "typical_volume": 24904150.05, "trend": 8.123, "fair_value": 8.388528, "relative_strength": -29.99442, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -76.122326, "energy": 75.886345, "activity_lines": [ 6.078, 6.359636, 7.088714, 7.568731 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 6.4, "volume": 24483358, "typical_volume": 23357026.4, "trend": 8.045, "fair_value": 8.36029, "relative_strength": -22.00323, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.152259, "energy": 63.791439, "activity_lines": [ 6.172667, 6.302182, 6.975429, 7.45757 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 6.55, "volume": 26038886, "typical_volume": 23107758.9, "trend": 7.979, "fair_value": 8.33295, "relative_strength": -23.116779, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.317144, "energy": 54.837544, "activity_lines": [ 6.301333, 6.307636, 6.888524, 7.361118 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }