{ "ticker": { "uuid": "e00adae8-90f2-4ecf-8763-46b288d0322c", "symbol": "LPN", "name": "L.P.N. Development Public Company Limited", "exchange": "SET", "country": "TH", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^SET.BK", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 63.943, "architecture_energy": 58.022, "architecture_maturity": 8.811, "architecture_confidence": 68.277, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 26.87, "rotation_up": 69.29, "upward_expansion": 86.57, "deceleration": 44.69, "rotation_down": 11.62, "downward_expansion": 10.9 }, "activity_lines": [ 1.612, 1.6, 1.584619, 1.578604 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 1.62, "trend_reference": 1.565011, "distance_from_trend": 0.035137, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 2.366858, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.315548, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -11.539987, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.093426, "excess_performance": -0.098899, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.035137, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.015038, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.315548, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.071676, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.1154, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.054674, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.093426, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.454163, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1660200, "relative_activity": 0.86377, "balance": 2.454163, "dry_up": 0.973237, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.025641, "annualized_volatility": 0.123937, "from_high_reference": -0.085825, "from_low_reference": 0.145851 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1.565011, "fair_value_reference": 2.366858, "structural_low": 1.462215, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.031579, "positive_rate": 0.166667, "directional_follow_through": 0.166667, "median_excess_return": -0.023304, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.026549, "worst_return": -0.064532, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.070275, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.08731, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.043927, "worst_return": -0.1375, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.045594, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.005397, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.019509, "worst_return": -0.110698, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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1.586545, 1.577, 1.571261 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1.61, "volume": 1497700, "typical_volume": 1936300.0, "trend": 1.560397, "fair_value": 2.380035, "relative_strength": -13.146871, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 59.50447, "energy": 52.105615, "activity_lines": [ 1.606667, 1.592545, 1.580381, 1.574758 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1.62, "volume": 1660200, "typical_volume": 1922040.0, "trend": 1.565011, "fair_value": 2.366858, "relative_strength": -11.539987, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.942853, "energy": 58.021695, "activity_lines": [ 1.612, 1.6, 1.584619, 1.578604 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }