{ "ticker": { "uuid": "e00e9f1a-0977-4bc6-adff-a31cefbf53e8", "symbol": "SCNI", "name": "Scinai Immunotherapeutics Ltd", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -66.573, "architecture_energy": 74.663, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 3.85, "rotation_up": 28.2, "upward_expansion": 18.32, "deceleration": 39.38, "rotation_down": 55.91, "downward_expansion": 93.99 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.250587, 0.261775, 0.349384, 0.436155 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 0.2453, "trend_reference": 0.562037, "distance_from_trend": -0.563552, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 3.305928, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.9258, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -75.298094, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.705062, "excess_performance": -0.892516, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.563552, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.276649, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.9258, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.051665, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.752981, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.09878, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.705062, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.03975, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 6340785, "relative_activity": 0.531448, "balance": 0.03975, "dry_up": 0.360516, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.362946, "annualized_volatility": 0.884502, "from_high_reference": -0.875482, "from_low_reference": 0.142519 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.562037, "fair_value_reference": 3.305928, "structural_low": 0.214701, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 55, "median_return": -0.103225, "positive_rate": 0.236364, "directional_follow_through": 0.763636, "median_excess_return": -0.117083, "regime_survival": 0.963636, "best_return": 0.568345, "worst_return": -0.586207, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 18, "median_return": -0.280109, "positive_rate": 0.055556, "directional_follow_through": 0.944444, "median_excess_return": -0.350675, "regime_survival": 0.944444, "best_return": 0.185668, "worst_return": -0.570938, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.474308, "positive_rate": 0.111111, "directional_follow_through": 0.888889, "median_excess_return": -0.661843, "regime_survival": 0.888889, "best_return": 0.172638, "worst_return": -0.747899, "sufficient": 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"typical_volume": 11122260.95, "trend": 0.628267, "fair_value": 3.648889, "relative_strength": -78.299329, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.849927, "energy": 72.663626, "activity_lines": [ 0.270807, 0.328553, 0.442117, 0.527392 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.2498, "volume": 9644029, "typical_volume": 11595953.55, "trend": 0.61026, "fair_value": 3.561388, "relative_strength": -76.447277, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.599502, "energy": 66.168487, "activity_lines": [ 0.2591, 0.303933, 0.414848, 0.502975 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.23, "volume": 377898, "typical_volume": 11578834.05, "trend": 0.594477, "fair_value": 3.474401, "relative_strength": -77.00128, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -71.411215, "energy": 83.077068, "activity_lines": [ 0.246207, 0.281495, 0.388736, 0.478442 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.273, "volume": 842768, "typical_volume": 11616669.1, "trend": 0.57926, "fair_value": 3.387689, "relative_strength": -72.016008, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.990646, "energy": 79.8458, "activity_lines": [ 0.253747, 0.272442, 0.369338, 0.457701 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.2453, "volume": 6340785, "typical_volume": 11931142.55, "trend": 0.562037, "fair_value": 3.305928, "relative_strength": -75.298094, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.572882, "energy": 74.663004, "activity_lines": [ 0.250587, 0.261775, 0.349384, 0.436155 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }