{ "ticker": { "uuid": "e016ca4f-7f2a-4281-b39a-e9a343f672d0", "symbol": "AUNA", "name": "Auna S.A.", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 16.544, "architecture_energy": 12.09, "architecture_maturity": 22.135, "architecture_confidence": 74.606, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 65.44, "rotation_up": 41.73, "upward_expansion": 36.16, "deceleration": 39.74, "rotation_down": 20.62, "downward_expansion": 13.49 }, "activity_lines": [ 5.156, 5.130909, 5.02719, 5.075613 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 5.32, "trend_reference": 5.102, "distance_from_trend": 0.042728, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 6.557704, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.18874, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -11.686062, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.117647, "excess_performance": -0.007978, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.042728, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.014583, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.18874, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.060062, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.116861, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.099686, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.117647, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.125967, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 911872, "relative_activity": 0.711338, "balance": 1.125967, "dry_up": 0.562709, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.088441, "annualized_volatility": 0.390958, "from_high_reference": -0.223358, "from_low_reference": 0.300733 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 5.102, "fair_value_reference": 6.557704, "structural_low": 4.09, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.102626, "positive_rate": 0.166667, "directional_follow_through": 0.166667, "median_excess_return": -0.114236, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.155206, "worst_return": -0.232143, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.170372, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.254964, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.031434, "worst_return": -0.309309, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.151652, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.115221, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": -0.151652, "worst_return": -0.151652, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-09-26", "end": "2025-10-03", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.016517, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-10-10", "end": "2025-10-17", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.036641, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-10-24", "end": "2025-11-07", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.12013, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-11-14", "end": "2026-03-06", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.067568, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": 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"fair_value": 6.592484, "relative_strength": -13.577277, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 9.875612, "energy": 16.552666, "activity_lines": [ 5.149333, 4.986364, 5.018857, 5.062495 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 5.04, "volume": 646010, "typical_volume": 1623064.6, "trend": 5.077, "fair_value": 6.579862, "relative_strength": -13.774591, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 8.385796, "energy": 11.479345, "activity_lines": [ 5.111333, 5.023273, 5.012429, 5.061054 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 5.07, "volume": 661196, "typical_volume": 1433760.45, "trend": 5.087333, "fair_value": 6.567685, "relative_strength": -13.519204, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 5.467314, "energy": 5.958258, "activity_lines": [ 5.089333, 5.061273, 5.007857, 5.060602 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 5.32, "volume": 911872, "typical_volume": 1281911.35, "trend": 5.102, "fair_value": 6.557704, "relative_strength": -11.686062, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 16.54428, "energy": 12.090295, "activity_lines": [ 5.156, 5.130909, 5.02719, 5.075613 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }