{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "e02c5958-c886-432c-935a-9b6889cc7c77",
    "symbol": "SKAND",
    "name": "Skandia GreenPower AS",
    "exchange": "OSL",
    "country": "NO",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "OSEBX.OL",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -58.005,
    "architecture_energy": 55.28,
    "architecture_maturity": 15.748,
    "architecture_confidence": 91.789,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 20.7,
        "rotation_up": 12.59,
        "upward_expansion": 11.85,
        "deceleration": 38.16,
        "rotation_down": 67.33,
        "downward_expansion": 89.85
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        1.372667,
        1.453636,
        1.535667,
        1.574016
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 1.37,
    "trend_reference": 1.605822,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.146854,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 1.173875,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.167075,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -25.635954,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.120468,
    "excess_performance": -0.245462,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.146854,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.036288,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.167075,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.459811,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.25636,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.189453,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.120468,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.839192,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 1219341,
      "relative_activity": 5.665768,
      "balance": 0.839192,
      "dry_up": 3.553482,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.21982,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.978478,
      "from_high_reference": -0.344498,
      "from_low_reference": 0.393317
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 1.605822,
      "fair_value_reference": 1.173875,
      "structural_low": 1.13,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 15,
        "median_return": -0.047946,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.071591,
        "regime_survival": 0.866667,
        "best_return": 0.242207,
        "worst_return": -0.658373,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": -0.022728,
        "positive_rate": 0.2,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.8,
        "median_excess_return": -0.041545,
        "regime_survival": 0.6,
        "best_return": 0.342592,
        "worst_return": -0.8,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.031818,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.039693,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.5,
        "worst_return": -0.895487,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.16284,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.256215,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.573132,
        "worst_return": -0.898812,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "color": "red",
        "start": "2023-01-06",
        "end": "2023-07-07",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.741,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.247171,
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      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-01-17",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
        "close": 1.84,
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        "typical_volume": 98161.05,
        "trend": 1.678865,
        "fair_value": 1.069809,
        "relative_strength": -4.709227,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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        "energy": 52.754772,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "typical_volume": 99879.0,
        "trend": 1.683489,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "typical_volume": 104078.9,
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        "relative_strength": -6.690683,
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "trend": 1.669771,
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        "relative_strength": -41.413568,
        "stage": 4,
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        "gate": "mixed",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 103100.85,
        "trend": 1.66868,
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        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "typical_volume": 105571.25,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "trend": 1.667179,
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        "relative_strength": -15.029535,
        "stage": 3,
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        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "relative_strength": -7.854289,
        "stage": 3,
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        "gate": "down",
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        "energy": 8.128465,
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          1.660194
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "volume": 2839,
        "typical_volume": 89113.0,
        "trend": 1.662412,
        "fair_value": 1.145139,
        "relative_strength": -16.163091,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "typical_volume": 98189.35,
        "trend": 1.660701,
        "fair_value": 1.151836,
        "relative_strength": -13.887968,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "down",
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        "energy": 13.920053,
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          1.591667,
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          1.63931,
          1.644463
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 1.43,
        "volume": 922361,
        "typical_volume": 133797.7,
        "trend": 1.650767,
        "fair_value": 1.157683,
        "relative_strength": -21.241486,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -52.00847,
        "energy": 33.621719,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.531667,
          1.562455,
          1.617762,
          1.629579
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 1.375,
        "volume": 659338,
        "typical_volume": 158227.05,
        "trend": 1.635268,
        "fair_value": 1.163053,
        "relative_strength": -25.732465,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -55.868782,
        "energy": 44.270806,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.464667,
          1.531545,
          1.59219,
          1.611788
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 1.3,
        "volume": 257967,
        "typical_volume": 158144.8,
        "trend": 1.62019,
        "fair_value": 1.168425,
        "relative_strength": -29.692755,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -61.948303,
        "energy": 53.184962,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.395333,
          1.482545,
          1.559881,
          1.590158
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 1.37,
        "volume": 1219341,
        "typical_volume": 215211.95,
        "trend": 1.605822,
        "fair_value": 1.173875,
        "relative_strength": -25.635954,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -58.004837,
        "energy": 55.280317,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.372667,
          1.453636,
          1.535667,
          1.574016
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}