{ "ticker": { "uuid": "e038cdf1-965a-43fd-a139-c5b3f40841f5", "symbol": "POLYCAB", "name": "Polycab India Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 30.208, "architecture_energy": 25.017, "architecture_maturity": 68.07, "architecture_confidence": 95.941, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 46.98, "rotation_up": 19.36, "upward_expansion": 53.87, "deceleration": 93.8, "rotation_down": 32.95, "downward_expansion": 19.87 }, "activity_lines": [ 9076.2, 9225.717472, 9152.768538, 8833.440275 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 9218.0, "trend_reference": 8392.386116, "distance_from_trend": 0.098377, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 6569.876025, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.403071, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 15.926548, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.209156, "excess_performance": 0.252865, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.098377, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.07905, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.403071, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.076116, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.159265, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.129822, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.209156, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.178236, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1100242, "relative_activity": 0.71765, "balance": 2.178236, "dry_up": 1.137206, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.04762, "annualized_volatility": 0.400279, "from_high_reference": -0.08913, "from_low_reference": 0.392447 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 8392.386116, "fair_value_reference": 6569.876025, "structural_low": 6690.5, "invalidation": "A 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"2025-01-31", "end": "2025-02-07", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.027865, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-02-14", "end": "2025-05-16", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.125225, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-05-23", "end": "2025-05-30", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.018271, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-06-06", "end": "2025-07-18", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.140175, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-07-25", "end": "2025-12-12", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.080481, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-12-19", "end": "2026-02-27", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.157481, "active": false }, { "regime": 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"relative_strength": 15.986537, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 30.446173, "energy": 27.04258, "activity_lines": [ 9045.366667, 9255.832422, 9104.676079, 8776.878089 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 9218.0, "volume": 1100242, "typical_volume": 1533118.2, "trend": 8392.386116, "fair_value": 6569.876025, "relative_strength": 15.926548, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 30.207739, "energy": 25.017231, "activity_lines": [ 9076.2, 9225.717472, 9152.768538, 8833.440275 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }