{ "ticker": { "uuid": "e03db612-2d5a-4b57-b1aa-2c90a6753007", "symbol": "E1WL34", "name": "Edwards Lifesciences Corporation", "exchange": "SAO", "country": "BR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^BVSP", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4c", "phase_label": "Stage 4C \u00b7 Repair watch", "transition": "stage_4_to_1_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 4 \u2192 1 repair watch", "confidence": 55.408, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Value reclamation", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 11.161, "architecture_energy": 24.401, "architecture_maturity": 69.765, "architecture_confidence": 82.953, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 53.64, "rotation_up": 20.14, "upward_expansion": 51.93, "deceleration": 88.3, "rotation_down": 48.58, "downward_expansion": 29.27 }, "activity_lines": [ 107.296666, 109.319454, 108.163381, 107.292925 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 105.709999, "trend_reference": 106.73, "distance_from_trend": -0.009557, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 104.280577, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.013707, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -6.228454, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.040043, "excess_performance": 0.097092, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.009557, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.017686, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.013707, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.078549, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.062285, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.175206, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.040043, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.889647, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 0, "relative_activity": 0.0, "balance": 0.889647, "dry_up": 0.416091, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.037818, "annualized_volatility": 0.287677, "from_high_reference": -0.137132, "from_low_reference": 0.120997 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 106.73, "fair_value_reference": 104.280577, "structural_low": 94.300003, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.026583, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.044922, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.018831, "worst_return": -0.092766, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.046579, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.088032, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.021132, "worst_return": -0.122605, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.060456, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.161578, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.082279, "worst_return": -0.182264, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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"trend": 107.374666, "fair_value": 104.170064, "relative_strength": -7.976123, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "up", "direction": 37.811058, "energy": 30.869057, "activity_lines": [ 111.006667, 111.029273, 108.345619, 107.485763 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 105.709999, "volume": 303, "typical_volume": 955.3, "trend": 107.034333, "fair_value": 104.226346, "relative_strength": -9.574874, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "up", "direction": 27.014278, "energy": 17.261242, "activity_lines": [ 108.961999, 110.161091, 108.247952, 107.378365 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 105.709999, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 940.3, "trend": 106.73, "fair_value": 104.280577, "relative_strength": -6.228454, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "up", "direction": 11.161225, "energy": 24.400771, "activity_lines": [ 107.296666, 109.319454, 108.163381, 107.292925 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }