{ "ticker": { "uuid": "e04603af-da25-484f-9858-4088622b2d18", "symbol": "PAG", "name": "Paragon Banking Group PLC", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4c", "phase_label": "Stage 4C \u00b7 Repair watch", "transition": "stage_4_to_1_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 4 \u2192 1 repair watch", "confidence": 50.78, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Value reclamation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 29.713, "architecture_energy": 56.772, "architecture_maturity": 7.026, "architecture_confidence": 65.491, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 25.88, "rotation_up": 70.67, "upward_expansion": 56.59, "deceleration": 15.33, "rotation_down": 14.58, "downward_expansion": 26.93 }, "activity_lines": [ 822.3, 802.362336, 781.455315, 782.063279 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 827.0, "trend_reference": 796.856537, "distance_from_trend": 0.037828, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 749.514764, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.103381, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -7.65593, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.068386, "excess_performance": -0.134664, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.037828, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.019569, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.103381, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.079068, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.076559, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.110221, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.068386, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 3.357802, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2077954, "relative_activity": 1.200468, "balance": 3.357802, "dry_up": 1.156704, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.045806, "annualized_volatility": 0.259294, "from_high_reference": -0.112844, "from_low_reference": 0.189073 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 796.856537, "fair_value_reference": 749.514764, "structural_low": 695.5, 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2349538, "typical_volume": 1755670.1, "trend": 797.930404, "fair_value": 747.513416, "relative_strength": -6.741135, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 38.290263, "energy": 58.121006, "activity_lines": [ 815.066667, 793.497718, 775.628535, 780.187821 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 827.0, "volume": 2077954, "typical_volume": 1730952.95, "trend": 796.856537, "fair_value": 749.514764, "relative_strength": -7.65593, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 29.712784, "energy": 56.771554, "activity_lines": [ 822.3, 802.362336, 781.455315, 782.063279 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }