{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "e0545b33-2263-47a8-af10-00a201ec7c37",
    "symbol": "RR1",
    "name": "Reach Resources Limited",
    "exchange": "ASX",
    "country": "AU",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^AXJO",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 52.415,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -45.657,
    "architecture_energy": 34.836,
    "architecture_maturity": 10.402,
    "architecture_confidence": 86.591,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 36.26,
        "rotation_up": 17.93,
        "upward_expansion": 7.64,
        "deceleration": 41.61,
        "rotation_down": 50.89,
        "downward_expansion": 76.31
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        0.01,
        0.010245,
        0.010439,
        0.010842
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 0.011,
    "trend_reference": 0.01164,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.055021,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 0.015852,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.306101,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -8.286647,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.153846,
    "excess_performance": -0.217552,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.055021,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.018966,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.306101,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.137524,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.082866,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.032759,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.153846,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 5.486347,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 2704551,
      "relative_activity": 0.116319,
      "balance": 5.486347,
      "dry_up": 0.318825,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.181818,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.966768,
      "from_high_reference": -0.421053,
      "from_low_reference": 0.571429
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 0.01164,
      "fair_value_reference": 0.015852,
      "structural_low": 0.007,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 16,
        "median_return": -0.055542,
        "positive_rate": 0.4375,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.045295,
        "regime_survival": 0.6875,
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        "worst_return": -0.400026,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "regime_survival": 0.428571,
        "best_return": 2.142946,
        "worst_return": -0.333321,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
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        "positive_rate": 0.5,
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        "worst_return": -0.272692,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
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        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
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        "regime": "balance",
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        "tenure": "Established",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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      {
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      {
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      {
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      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "date": "2026-07-10",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "volume": 7781936,
        "typical_volume": 24692326.65,
        "trend": 0.01174,
        "fair_value": 0.016659,
        "relative_strength": -21.25015,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -52.669589,
        "energy": 45.971808,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.0101,
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          0.010609,
          0.011172
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 0.009,
        "volume": 8697851,
        "typical_volume": 24161878.9,
        "trend": 0.011707,
        "fair_value": 0.016423,
        "relative_strength": -20.881367,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -60.883739,
        "energy": 56.465884,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.0096,
          0.010336,
          0.010436,
          0.010995
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 0.01,
        "volume": 10467906,
        "typical_volume": 23843118.6,
        "trend": 0.011674,
        "fair_value": 0.016164,
        "relative_strength": -13.893952,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -54.059862,
        "energy": 52.869048,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.0096,
          0.0102,
          0.010378,
          0.010885
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 0.011,
        "volume": 2704551,
        "typical_volume": 23251218.35,
        "trend": 0.01164,
        "fair_value": 0.015852,
        "relative_strength": -8.286647,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -45.657486,
        "energy": 34.835634,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.01,
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          0.010439,
          0.010842
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}