{ "ticker": { "uuid": "e05bab00-e40b-4d88-9a0a-1745bfad4171", "symbol": "SON1", "name": "Sony Group Corporation", "exchange": "VIE", "country": "AT", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^ATX", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 84.142, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 87.049, "architecture_energy": 73.499, "architecture_maturity": 83.969, "architecture_confidence": 92.2, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 11.96, "rotation_up": 68.23, "upward_expansion": 90.0, "deceleration": 61.17, "rotation_down": 27.09, "downward_expansion": 12.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 19.547133, 18.9306, 18.547862, 16.609091 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 1.0 }, "latest_close": 20.445, "trend_reference": 13.562281, "distance_from_trend": 0.50749, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 4.136034, "distance_from_fair_value": 3.943141, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 73.664734, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 2.956182, "excess_performance": 2.781936, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.50749, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.427451, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 3.943141, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -1.796898, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.736647, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.748391, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 2.956182, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.613153, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 12, "relative_activity": 0.120968, "balance": 1.613153, "dry_up": 0.337702, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.051252, "annualized_volatility": 1.897245, "from_high_reference": -0.007042, "from_low_reference": 5.724323 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 13.562281, "fair_value_reference": 4.136034, "structural_low": 4.728627, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 54, "median_return": 0.02278, "positive_rate": 0.648148, "directional_follow_through": 0.648148, "median_excess_return": 0.011324, "regime_survival": 0.833333, "best_return": 1.477041, "worst_return": -0.122394, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 18, "median_return": 0.18925, "positive_rate": 0.833333, "directional_follow_through": 0.833333, "median_excess_return": 0.14516, "regime_survival": 0.777778, "best_return": 1.526472, "worst_return": -0.101799, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 1.078263, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.977202, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 1.709691, "worst_return": 0.179421, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 71.783254, "energy": 83.875172, "activity_lines": [ 18.2716, 18.263636, 17.576036, 15.25475 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 18.42, "volume": 2, "typical_volume": 125.55, "trend": 12.611304, "fair_value": 3.878136, "relative_strength": 70.298383, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.053519, "energy": 84.497954, "activity_lines": [ 18.404, 18.259854, 17.85079, 15.656106 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 20.014999, "volume": 120, "typical_volume": 115.3, "trend": 13.07743, "fair_value": 4.005686, "relative_strength": 79.874328, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 87.487084, "energy": 72.928878, "activity_lines": [ 18.988999, 18.564072, 18.214187, 16.133764 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 20.445, "volume": 12, "typical_volume": 99.2, "trend": 13.562281, "fair_value": 4.136034, "relative_strength": 73.664734, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 87.048527, "energy": 73.499222, "activity_lines": [ 19.547133, 18.9306, 18.547862, 16.609091 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }