{ "ticker": { "uuid": "e06a97ab-3609-44d9-b7db-04f80fe0c2c2", "symbol": "SEPC", "name": "SEPC Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -62.728, "architecture_energy": 66.515, "architecture_maturity": 18.743, "architecture_confidence": 87.469, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 17.59, "rotation_up": 10.46, "upward_expansion": 14.37, "deceleration": 38.05, "rotation_down": 72.19, "downward_expansion": 90.04 }, "activity_lines": [ 6.094, 6.329818, 6.765952, 6.852753 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 6.18, "trend_reference": 7.138667, "distance_from_trend": -0.134292, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 15.735442, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.607256, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -28.434157, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.314856, "excess_performance": -0.271147, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.134292, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.138536, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.607256, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.109107, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.284342, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.088018, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.314856, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.450008, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 114710778, "relative_activity": 1.387101, "balance": 0.450008, "dry_up": 0.873197, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.110904, "annualized_volatility": 0.692356, "from_high_reference": -0.549891, "from_low_reference": 0.329032 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 7.138667, "fair_value_reference": 15.735442, "structural_low": 4.65, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 22, "median_return": -0.000995, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.008022, "regime_survival": 0.818182, "best_return": 0.471954, "worst_return": -0.307898, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.04503, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.092118, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.518498, "worst_return": -0.270037, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.127447, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.081881, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 1.421898, "worst_return": -0.338764, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2024-03-29", "end": "2024-04-19", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.186186, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-04-26", "end": "2024-07-12", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.123192, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-07-19", "end": "2024-07-26", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.184984, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-08-02", "end": "2024-08-30", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.266208, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-09-06", "end": "2024-10-18", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.057095, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2024-10-25", "end": "2024-12-27", "tenure": 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"downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.574115, "energy": 67.611037, "activity_lines": [ 6.278667, 6.592909, 6.914048, 7.015161 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 5.92, "volume": 50578433, "typical_volume": 87662453.75, "trend": 7.239667, "fair_value": 15.784044, "relative_strength": -31.73813, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -72.530295, "energy": 74.416928, "activity_lines": [ 6.120667, 6.420545, 6.829048, 6.921118 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 6.18, "volume": 114710778, "typical_volume": 82698206.05, "trend": 7.138667, "fair_value": 15.735442, "relative_strength": -28.434157, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.728049, "energy": 66.514538, "activity_lines": [ 6.094, 6.329818, 6.765952, 6.852753 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }