{ "ticker": { "uuid": "e078df99-e5c1-4092-8b99-9663f5257343", "symbol": "IPSC", "name": "Century Therapeutics Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -33.115, "architecture_energy": 41.189, "architecture_maturity": 11.885, "architecture_confidence": 44.177, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 49.16, "rotation_up": 20.88, "upward_expansion": 17.77, "deceleration": 43.12, "rotation_down": 62.45, "downward_expansion": 57.11 }, "activity_lines": [ 2.077333, 2.168, 2.227238, 2.235527 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 2.0, "trend_reference": 2.218667, "distance_from_trend": -0.098558, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 1.797232, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.112822, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 14.766739, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.176471, "excess_performance": -0.010983, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.098558, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.266468, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.112822, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.111868, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.147667, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.560702, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.176471, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.730338, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 3372104, "relative_activity": 0.575477, "balance": 1.730338, "dry_up": 0.692377, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.143462, "annualized_volatility": 0.617882, "from_high_reference": -0.342105, "from_low_reference": 3.597701 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 2.218667, "fair_value_reference": 1.797232, "structural_low": 1.7, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.005957, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.019499, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 2.478573, "worst_return": -0.154923, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 1.474417, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 1.42695, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 3.001475, "worst_return": -0.05264, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 2.231717, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 2.098234, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 2.231717, "worst_return": 2.231717, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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"rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2024-05-17", "end": "2024-05-24", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.009967, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2024-05-31", "end": "2024-06-21", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.037037, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-06-28", "end": "2025-07-04", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.782314, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-07-11", "end": "2025-09-12", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.16575, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-09-19", "end": "2025-10-10", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.191744, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-10-17", "end": "2025-12-12", "tenure": "Developing", 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"typical_volume": 6584263.85, "trend": 2.14833, "fair_value": 1.814444, "relative_strength": 40.802657, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 29.948886, "energy": 14.981599, "activity_lines": [ 2.298, 2.293636, 2.296333, 2.262462 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 2.11, "volume": 3278477, "typical_volume": 6461046.9, "trend": 2.182497, "fair_value": 1.808674, "relative_strength": 32.002, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 5.513324, "energy": 4.554641, "activity_lines": [ 2.232, 2.259636, 2.277714, 2.259989 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 2.02, "volume": 3433371, "typical_volume": 6224204.2, "trend": 2.216667, "fair_value": 1.80236, "relative_strength": 23.673092, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -21.94965, "energy": 23.258346, "activity_lines": [ 2.148, 2.213455, 2.252667, 2.249505 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 2.0, "volume": 3372104, "typical_volume": 5859667.85, "trend": 2.218667, "fair_value": 1.797232, "relative_strength": 14.766739, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -33.114711, "energy": 41.188561, "activity_lines": [ 2.077333, 2.168, 2.227238, 2.235527 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }