{ "ticker": { "uuid": "e086092a-3dc0-4e63-9b4f-2779b615675c", "symbol": "HINDZINC", "name": "Hindustan Zinc Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 55.792, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -15.228, "architecture_energy": 12.263, "architecture_maturity": 37.056, "architecture_confidence": 50.487, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 53.15, "rotation_up": 25.85, "upward_expansion": 15.79, "deceleration": 42.11, "rotation_down": 30.07, "downward_expansion": 63.46 }, "activity_lines": [ 556.08667, 547.65, 563.812598, 565.626785 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 603.0, "trend_reference": 574.501081, "distance_from_trend": 0.049606, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 454.183504, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.327657, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 12.625984, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.008321, "excess_performance": 0.052031, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.049606, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.008544, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.327657, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.149239, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.12626, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.171267, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.008321, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 3.272803, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 34853286, "relative_activity": 1.713341, "balance": 3.272803, "dry_up": 0.97481, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.05495, "annualized_volatility": 0.351912, "from_high_reference": -0.162323, "from_low_reference": 0.481166 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 574.501081, "fair_value_reference": 454.183504, "structural_low": 475.315553, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": 0.004607, "positive_rate": 0.545455, "directional_follow_through": 0.454545, "median_excess_return": -0.019822, "regime_survival": 0.818182, "best_return": 0.181934, "worst_return": -0.174007, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.024179, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.062484, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.050728, "worst_return": -0.130173, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.151969, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.024632, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.185097, "worst_return": -0.193383, 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531.950012, "volume": 15477504, "typical_volume": 21049284.85, "trend": 576.863941, "fair_value": 450.503995, "relative_strength": 3.913657, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.186025, "energy": 63.469077, "activity_lines": [ 529.009998, 541.823634, 562.01659, 566.202094 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 539.200012, "volume": 16589545, "typical_volume": 20579336.55, "trend": 574.253362, "fair_value": 452.134528, "relative_strength": 2.166007, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -59.488033, "energy": 48.726025, "activity_lines": [ 532.620003, 538.090909, 559.869722, 563.772163 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 603.0, "volume": 34853286, "typical_volume": 20342289.4, "trend": 574.501081, "fair_value": 454.183504, "relative_strength": 12.625984, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -15.228106, "energy": 12.262772, "activity_lines": [ 556.08667, 547.65, 563.812598, 565.626785 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }