{ "ticker": { "uuid": "e0894fb3-4270-467b-baea-f64f61db94c0", "symbol": "3413", "name": "Doo Wealth Selected Ai and Automation Active Etf", "exchange": "HKG", "country": "HK", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^HSI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 63.314, "architecture_energy": 45.308, "architecture_maturity": 72.224, "architecture_confidence": 93.563, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 30.65, "rotation_up": 37.75, "upward_expansion": 59.55, "deceleration": 91.02, "rotation_down": 27.67, "downward_expansion": 23.22 }, "activity_lines": [ 11.372667, 11.382, 11.234667, 10.877806 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 11.67, "trend_reference": 10.4635, "distance_from_trend": 0.115306, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 9.378434, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.244344, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 15.641659, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.212468, "excess_performance": 0.246049, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.115306, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.060042, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.244344, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.037199, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.156417, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.035819, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.212468, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.191136, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 0, "relative_activity": 0.0, "balance": 1.191136, "dry_up": 0.520523, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.028673, "annualized_volatility": 0.200217, "from_high_reference": -0.019328, "from_low_reference": 0.346021 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 10.4635, "fair_value_reference": 9.378434, "structural_low": 8.67, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-07-17", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.033658, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2025-01-10", "close": 8.5, "volume": 2300, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2025-01-17", "close": 8.38, "volume": 900, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2025-01-24", "close": 8.67, "volume": 76300, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, 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null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2026-06-26", "close": 11.45, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 11.27, "volume": 110, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 11.43, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 11.29, "volume": 3500, "typical_volume": 1681.0, "trend": 10.304167, "fair_value": 9.304875, "relative_strength": 18.37987, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 48.031057, "energy": 49.465444, "activity_lines": [ 11.371333, 11.426182, 11.04, 10.686925 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 11.17, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 1681.0, "trend": 10.354, "fair_value": 9.327901, "relative_strength": 14.723239, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 45.188593, "energy": 41.892458, "activity_lines": [ 11.286, 11.383273, 11.096738, 10.742785 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 11.18, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 1681.0, "trend": 10.403167, "fair_value": 9.350488, "relative_strength": 10.369617, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 41.712038, "energy": 35.102942, "activity_lines": [ 11.238667, 11.338727, 11.14669, 10.796075 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 11.67, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 1681.0, "trend": 10.4635, "fair_value": 9.378434, "relative_strength": 15.641659, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.31399, "energy": 45.307801, "activity_lines": [ 11.372667, 11.382, 11.234667, 10.877806 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }