{ "ticker": { "uuid": "e08e08c5-46e9-40da-b866-41c67e7994fa", "symbol": "MLAIG", "name": "ANDINO INVERSIONES GLOBAL, S.A.", "exchange": "PAR", "country": "FR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FCHI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 76.53, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Momentum cooling", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 11.25, "architecture_energy": 22.741, "architecture_maturity": 41.759, "architecture_confidence": 69.62, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 54.39, "rotation_up": 16.76, "upward_expansion": 49.22, "deceleration": 72.15, "rotation_down": 28.02, "downward_expansion": 25.72 }, "activity_lines": [ 2.82, 2.82, 2.854667, 2.823398 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 2.82, "trend_reference": 2.726, "distance_from_trend": 0.034483, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 2.994615, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.05831, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -4.669161, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.155738, "excess_performance": 0.102426, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.034483, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.030754, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.05831, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.021956, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.046692, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.065489, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.155738, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 5.0, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 0, "relative_activity": 0.0, "balance": 5.0, "dry_up": 0.0, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.008183, "annualized_volatility": 0.492769, "from_high_reference": -0.06, "from_low_reference": 0.516129 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 2.726, "fair_value_reference": 2.994615, "structural_low": 2.2, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.0, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.001501, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": 0.0, "worst_return": 0.0, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-08-22", "end": "2026-02-27", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.106667, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-03-06", "end": "2026-04-24", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.119403, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2026-05-01", "end": "2026-05-08", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.033333, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-05-15", "end": "2026-06-19", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.06, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-06-26", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.0, "active": true } ], 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"direction": 51.600177, "energy": 71.596848, "activity_lines": [ 2.892, 2.922909, 2.851619, 2.740043 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-19", "close": 2.82, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 4943.55, "trend": 2.626667, "fair_value": 3.004553, "relative_strength": -3.386755, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 42.721018, "energy": 38.149815, "activity_lines": [ 2.856, 2.904364, 2.858667, 2.752129 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-26", "close": 2.82, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 4937.9, "trend": 2.654, "fair_value": 3.003065, "relative_strength": -2.706943, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 32.739344, "energy": 47.532678, "activity_lines": [ 2.832, 2.883273, 2.862, 2.764602 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 2.82, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 4935.65, "trend": 2.664667, "fair_value": 3.0016, "relative_strength": -3.803522, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 28.504188, "energy": 39.257628, "activity_lines": [ 2.82, 2.865455, 2.863524, 2.775312 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 2.82, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 4934.8, "trend": 2.658667, "fair_value": 3.000159, "relative_strength": -1.60566, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 16.329751, "energy": 29.825741, "activity_lines": [ 2.82, 2.850909, 2.862095, 2.785333 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 2.82, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 4933.65, "trend": 2.652667, "fair_value": 2.99874, "relative_strength": -1.353603, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 12.763153, "energy": 36.405144, "activity_lines": [ 2.82, 2.839636, 2.861238, 2.795742 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 2.82, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 4933.65, "trend": 2.677333, "fair_value": 2.997344, "relative_strength": -1.493275, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 10.140725, "energy": 25.666531, "activity_lines": [ 2.82, 2.829818, 2.859714, 2.806538 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 2.82, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 4933.65, "trend": 2.701333, "fair_value": 2.995969, "relative_strength": -2.721341, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 9.055254, "energy": 17.478135, "activity_lines": [ 2.82, 2.823273, 2.857524, 2.815742 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 2.82, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 4933.65, "trend": 2.726, "fair_value": 2.994615, "relative_strength": -4.669161, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "up", "direction": 11.250431, "energy": 22.741132, "activity_lines": [ 2.82, 2.82, 2.854667, 2.823398 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }