{ "ticker": { "uuid": "e08f713c-40aa-4d36-99e9-afdc6c22c4f3", "symbol": "ZOO", "name": "ZOO Digital Group plc", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 91.478, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -43.489, "architecture_energy": 30.748, "architecture_maturity": 7.674, "architecture_confidence": 86.663, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 38.99, "rotation_up": 22.65, "upward_expansion": 8.19, "deceleration": 41.62, "rotation_down": 48.55, "downward_expansion": 74.52 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.107167, 0.108364, 0.109131, 0.113427 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 0.115, "trend_reference": 0.117458, "distance_from_trend": -0.020929, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 0.292003, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.606169, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -8.432084, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.258065, "excess_performance": -0.3093, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.020929, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.022488, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.606169, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.114968, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.084321, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.125581, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.258065, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 5.435949, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2100800, "relative_activity": 1.345929, "balance": 5.435949, "dry_up": 2.378203, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.123612, "annualized_volatility": 0.576019, "from_high_reference": -0.323529, "from_low_reference": 0.352941 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.117458, "fair_value_reference": 0.292003, "structural_low": 0.085, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 29, "median_return": 0.0, "positive_rate": 0.448276, "directional_follow_through": 0.482759, "median_excess_return": 0.014545, "regime_survival": 0.758621, "best_return": 0.723077, "worst_return": -0.598214, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": -0.081481, "positive_rate": 0.363636, "directional_follow_through": 0.636364, "median_excess_return": -0.056242, "regime_survival": 0.636364, "best_return": 1.056604, "worst_return": -0.59322, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.116379, "positive_rate": 0.285714, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": -0.231729, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.697561, "worst_return": -0.647059, 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0.117375, "fair_value": 0.306042, "relative_strength": -6.142589, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -27.551526, "energy": 13.965407, "activity_lines": [ 0.113667, 0.111727, 0.113613, 0.116836 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.0925, "volume": 2520413, "typical_volume": 1120199.2, "trend": 0.116792, "fair_value": 0.302564, "relative_strength": -26.048007, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.897549, "energy": 38.682852, "activity_lines": [ 0.106667, 0.108727, 0.111119, 0.115231 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.1, "volume": 3411430, "typical_volume": 1210920.7, "trend": 0.116708, "fair_value": 0.298718, "relative_strength": -20.278893, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -58.264084, "energy": 47.013823, "activity_lines": [ 0.103667, 0.107273, 0.109577, 0.114148 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.1075, "volume": 6815479, "typical_volume": 1542902.65, "trend": 0.116958, "fair_value": 0.295369, "relative_strength": -14.677097, "stage": 1, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -50.752061, "energy": 42.165946, "activity_lines": [ 0.104, 0.107227, 0.108929, 0.113554 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.115, "volume": 2100800, "typical_volume": 1560854.95, "trend": 0.117458, "fair_value": 0.292003, "relative_strength": -8.432084, "stage": 1, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -43.489169, "energy": 30.747916, "activity_lines": [ 0.107167, 0.108364, 0.109131, 0.113427 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }