{ "ticker": { "uuid": "e0959c12-427f-409c-9569-3c97e3124538", "symbol": "ARP", "name": "ADVISORS INNER CIRCLE FUND II INC PMV ADAPTIVE RISK PARITY ETF", "exchange": "NYSEARCA", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 53.923, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 56.99, "architecture_energy": 41.273, "architecture_maturity": 14.484, "architecture_confidence": 67.824, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The prior uptrend is attempting to re-accelerate.", "body": "Positive Trend survived a recompression and Fast Activity is strengthening again. Promotion requires renewed confirmation across the completed evidence set." }, "scores": { "balance": 29.23, "rotation_up": 61.73, "upward_expansion": 76.11, "deceleration": 41.9, "rotation_down": 15.36, "downward_expansion": 14.78 }, "activity_lines": [ 32.926387, 32.710322, 32.729788, 32.597206 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 33.461, "trend_reference": 32.453167, "distance_from_trend": 0.031055, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 26.730966, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.251769, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -3.938311, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.035053, "excess_performance": -0.090571, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.031055, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.027085, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs 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"Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 14.82545, "energy": 21.15362, "activity_lines": [ 32.28816, 32.612853, 32.526439, 32.40054 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 32.8085, "volume": 25395, "typical_volume": 31654.25, "trend": 32.155458, "fair_value": 26.461359, "relative_strength": -3.44075, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 30.003562, "energy": 19.974144, "activity_lines": [ 32.436167, 32.611553, 32.561067, 32.44857 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 32.6072, "volume": 14888, "typical_volume": 31208.7, "trend": 32.23644, "fair_value": 26.526328, "relative_strength": -2.550266, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 15.833929, "energy": 13.765369, "activity_lines": [ 32.488833, 32.572878, 32.578594, 32.477714 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 32.6049, "volume": 17162, "typical_volume": 29926.75, "trend": 32.2935, "fair_value": 26.589934, "relative_strength": -2.02593, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 19.586961, "energy": 8.804609, "activity_lines": [ 32.538253, 32.550382, 32.601282, 32.501486 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 32.6883, "volume": 18272, "typical_volume": 29887.6, "trend": 32.372133, "fair_value": 26.65726, "relative_strength": -2.856689, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 34.671612, "energy": 18.967693, "activity_lines": [ 32.63048, 32.554415, 32.630765, 32.526957 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 33.461, "volume": 114078, "typical_volume": 33548.15, "trend": 32.453167, "fair_value": 26.730966, "relative_strength": -3.938311, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 56.990117, "energy": 41.272601, "activity_lines": [ 32.926387, 32.710322, 32.729788, 32.597206 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }