{ "ticker": { "uuid": "e0976a9e-d2a2-4407-a4b9-d98161ab2745", "symbol": "AYN", "name": "Global Testing Corporation Limited", "exchange": "SES", "country": "SG", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^STI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -60.73, "architecture_energy": 59.739, "architecture_maturity": 17.251, "architecture_confidence": 82.737, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 18.3, "rotation_up": 11.26, "upward_expansion": 12.29, "deceleration": 38.8, "rotation_down": 69.04, "downward_expansion": 87.96 }, "activity_lines": [ 1.152667, 1.171636, 1.200004, 1.214449 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 1.15, "trend_reference": 1.264626, "distance_from_trend": -0.09064, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 1.055233, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.089806, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -25.610988, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.248366, "excess_performance": -0.403201, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.09064, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.034115, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.089806, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.109502, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.25611, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.161239, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.248366, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.776481, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 21500, "relative_activity": 0.27875, "balance": 1.776481, "dry_up": 0.383768, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.061397, "annualized_volatility": 0.515736, "from_high_reference": -0.290123, "from_low_reference": 0.095238 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1.264626, "fair_value_reference": 1.055233, "structural_low": 1.05, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 18, "median_return": 0.030911, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.277778, "median_excess_return": 0.012805, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.710145, "worst_return": -0.137501, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.094572, "positive_rate": 0.857143, "directional_follow_through": 0.142857, "median_excess_return": 0.040299, "regime_survival": 0.142857, "best_return": 0.349998, "worst_return": -0.120419, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.018752, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.028627, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.812498, "worst_return": -0.145115, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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"typical_volume": 98050.0, "trend": 1.28996, "fair_value": 1.050246, "relative_strength": -20.152294, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -41.097737, "energy": 31.698898, "activity_lines": [ 1.206667, 1.227234, 1.219886, 1.248632 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 1.16, "volume": 20200, "typical_volume": 83100.0, "trend": 1.28596, "fair_value": 1.051184, "relative_strength": -23.160712, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -59.197461, "energy": 44.143079, "activity_lines": [ 1.191333, 1.211609, 1.215558, 1.240248 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 1.14, "volume": 42100, "typical_volume": 81715.0, "trend": 1.27996, "fair_value": 1.052233, "relative_strength": -25.329511, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.113393, "energy": 52.525217, "activity_lines": [ 1.170667, 1.193824, 1.209612, 1.230831 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1.15, "volume": 34600, "typical_volume": 80685.0, "trend": 1.27396, "fair_value": 1.053644, "relative_strength": -24.943205, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.912271, "energy": 54.649038, "activity_lines": [ 1.16, 1.181636, 1.204713, 1.222446 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1.15, "volume": 21500, "typical_volume": 77130.0, "trend": 1.264626, "fair_value": 1.055233, "relative_strength": -25.610988, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.72959, "energy": 59.739494, "activity_lines": [ 1.152667, 1.171636, 1.200004, 1.214449 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }