{ "ticker": { "uuid": "e0a51f4f-1322-49b9-8375-ac65326f536f", "symbol": "001896", "name": "Henan Yuneng Holdings Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 76.884, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Momentum cooling", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -18.99, "architecture_energy": 30.773, "architecture_maturity": 25.531, "architecture_confidence": 43.743, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 44.74, "rotation_up": 15.02, "upward_expansion": 22.49, "deceleration": 57.55, "rotation_down": 60.91, "downward_expansion": 40.82 }, "activity_lines": [ 13.472667, 14.786545, 15.739667, 15.361978 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 13.72, "trend_reference": 13.920333, "distance_from_trend": -0.014391, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 6.344615, "distance_from_fair_value": 1.162464, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 31.296427, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 1.212903, "excess_performance": 1.205503, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.014391, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.340728, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 1.162464, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.882498, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.312964, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.49465, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 1.212903, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.977383, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 475922519, "relative_activity": 0.715175, "balance": 0.977383, "dry_up": 0.91934, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.241646, "annualized_volatility": 1.083044, "from_high_reference": -0.429285, "from_low_reference": 1.727634 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 13.920333, "fair_value_reference": 6.344615, "structural_low": 6.04, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.050347, "positive_rate": 0.714286, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": 0.008808, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.226872, "worst_return": -0.098074, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.037206, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.058714, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.138767, "worst_return": -0.085145, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.620865, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.546808, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 1.336252, "worst_return": -0.137681, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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"color": "blue", "start": "2025-03-21", "end": "2025-05-16", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.174224, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-05-23", "end": "2025-06-20", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.079229, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-06-27", "end": "2025-07-11", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.35022, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-07-18", "end": "2025-08-15", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.138148, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-08-22", "end": "2025-10-17", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.008757, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-10-24", "end": "2025-12-19", "tenure": "Developing", 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16.728333, 15.292387 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 13.96, "volume": 594312905, "typical_volume": 740094926.6, "trend": 13.119333, "fair_value": 6.181026, "relative_strength": 44.466793, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 11.494944, "energy": 20.559303, "activity_lines": [ 15.190667, 16.65, 16.517428, 15.364667 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 14.39, "volume": 885483244, "typical_volume": 722664508.9, "trend": 13.416, "fair_value": 6.240897, "relative_strength": 46.343379, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 4.335939, "energy": 19.901326, "activity_lines": [ 14.606667, 16.180727, 16.344524, 15.446645 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 12.02, "volume": 491430470, "typical_volume": 692175194.7, "trend": 13.636333, "fair_value": 6.286731, "relative_strength": 22.725466, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -30.210744, "energy": 32.28732, "activity_lines": [ 13.596667, 15.295091, 15.953, 15.356581 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 13.72, "volume": 475922519, "typical_volume": 665463451.45, "trend": 13.920333, "fair_value": 6.344615, "relative_strength": 31.296427, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -18.990488, "energy": 30.772736, "activity_lines": [ 13.472667, 14.786545, 15.739667, 15.361978 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }