{ "ticker": { "uuid": "e0a69f1a-1035-4cca-8937-d58d6ef7c240", "symbol": "1V3", "name": "Mooreast Holdings Ltd.", "exchange": "SES", "country": "SG", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^STI", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -25.071, "architecture_energy": 29.852, "architecture_maturity": 15.68, "architecture_confidence": 64.456, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 45.95, "rotation_up": 15.1, "upward_expansion": 16.57, "deceleration": 58.49, "rotation_down": 61.91, "downward_expansion": 43.9 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.127467, 0.1316, 0.134867, 0.132987 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 0.123, "trend_reference": 0.1324, "distance_from_trend": -0.070997, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 0.128224, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.040744, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -22.973496, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.121429, "excess_performance": -0.276264, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.070997, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.009403, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.040744, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.270193, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.229735, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.340836, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.121429, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.810074, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 320500, "relative_activity": 0.383534, "balance": 0.810074, "dry_up": 0.574523, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.111945, "annualized_volatility": 0.65719, "from_high_reference": -0.324176, "from_low_reference": 0.182692 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.1324, "fair_value_reference": 0.128224, "structural_low": 0.104, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": 0.017094, "positive_rate": 0.545455, "directional_follow_through": 0.545455, "median_excess_return": -0.00179, "regime_survival": 0.454545, "best_return": 0.300699, "worst_return": -0.169231, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.071429, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.02205, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.133333, "worst_return": -0.428571, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.030769, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.125733, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.266667, "worst_return": -0.440559, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.095105, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.330397, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.020979, "worst_return": -0.169231, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-03-28", "end": "2025-04-18", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.397849, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-04-25", "end": "2025-05-23", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.169231, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-05-30", "end": "2025-06-27", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.018519, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-07-04", "end": "2025-07-11", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.05, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-07-18", "end": "2025-07-25", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.173554, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-08-01", "end": "2025-10-24", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.014706, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-10-31", "end": "2025-11-28", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.059701, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-12-05", "end": "2025-12-26", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.072, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2026-01-02", "end": "2026-02-06", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.066667, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-02-13", "end": "2026-03-13", "tenure": "Developing", 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"modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -6.71043, "energy": 11.626059, "activity_lines": [ 0.133933, 0.138582, 0.135933, 0.134176 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.132, "volume": 465000, "typical_volume": 821780.0, "trend": 0.134033, "fair_value": 0.12825, "relative_strength": -16.930884, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 1.750126, "energy": 9.681477, "activity_lines": [ 0.132667, 0.1368, 0.136, 0.134041 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.128, "volume": 339900, "typical_volume": 826435.0, "trend": 0.1333, "fair_value": 0.128237, "relative_strength": -19.478333, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -14.657521, "energy": 16.697095, "activity_lines": [ 0.1306, 0.134618, 0.135695, 0.133652 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.123, "volume": 320500, "typical_volume": 835650.0, "trend": 0.1324, "fair_value": 0.128224, "relative_strength": -22.973496, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -25.071106, "energy": 29.852413, "activity_lines": [ 0.127467, 0.1316, 0.134867, 0.132987 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }