{ "ticker": { "uuid": "e0bb6dc2-9c6a-49e0-ad0c-3d054544869d", "symbol": "BBIO", "name": "BridgeBio Pharma Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 69.575, "architecture_energy": 72.813, "architecture_maturity": 16.94, "architecture_confidence": 84.075, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 24.51, "rotation_up": 74.77, "upward_expansion": 91.86, "deceleration": 42.48, "rotation_down": 10.08, "downward_expansion": 16.2 }, "activity_lines": [ 82.898, 79.812727, 75.425619, 73.866258 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 84.48, "trend_reference": 72.717667, "distance_from_trend": 0.161753, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 43.656282, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.935117, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 8.690903, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.24144, "excess_performance": 0.053986, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.161753, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.018338, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.935117, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.216344, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.086909, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.145028, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.24144, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.939237, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 8864451, "relative_activity": 0.618896, "balance": 1.939237, "dry_up": 0.72644, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.079273, "annualized_volatility": 0.376814, "from_high_reference": -0.095648, "from_low_reference": 0.825213 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 72.717667, "fair_value_reference": 43.656282, "structural_low": 62.5, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 26, "median_return": 0.032475, "positive_rate": 0.615385, "directional_follow_through": 0.615385, "median_excess_return": 0.029526, "regime_survival": 0.769231, "best_return": 0.705269, "worst_return": -0.119094, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.151584, "positive_rate": 0.777778, "directional_follow_through": 0.777778, "median_excess_return": 0.093824, "regime_survival": 0.444444, "best_return": 0.940706, "worst_return": -0.112722, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.319851, "positive_rate": 0.833333, "directional_follow_through": 0.833333, "median_excess_return": 0.312234, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 1.149815, "worst_return": -0.094699, "sufficient": true }, { 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"green", "start": "2025-05-02", "end": "2026-02-06", "tenure": "Extended", "return": 0.764325, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-02-13", "end": "2026-05-01", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.088904, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-05-08", "end": "2026-07-10", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.274521, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2026-07-17", "end": "2026-07-24", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.03244, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-07-31", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.054813, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2023-08-18", "close": 28.72, "volume": 9609512, "typical_volume": 12671619.75, "trend": 17.1455, "fair_value": 30.378269, "relative_strength": 83.525729, "stage": 2, 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"relative_strength": 15.594655, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "up", "direction": 70.348034, "energy": 77.071255, "activity_lines": [ 81.860667, 76.809636, 73.539143, 72.596677 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 80.09, "volume": 11416825, "typical_volume": 14299990.6, "trend": 72.476667, "fair_value": 43.31391, "relative_strength": 8.982395, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.93088, "energy": 76.124078, "activity_lines": [ 81.976, 78.011818, 74.298762, 73.091849 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 84.48, "volume": 8864451, "typical_volume": 14323003.5, "trend": 72.717667, "fair_value": 43.656282, "relative_strength": 8.690903, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 69.57487, "energy": 72.812678, "activity_lines": [ 82.898, 79.812727, 75.425619, 73.866258 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }