{ "ticker": { "uuid": "e0c4d155-12f5-4c80-9345-5d3edd6cb4ab", "symbol": "3694", "name": "AzureWave Technologies, Inc.", "exchange": "TAI", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -17.492, "architecture_energy": 28.746, "architecture_maturity": 21.913, "architecture_confidence": 66.522, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 40.85, "rotation_up": 22.41, "upward_expansion": 23.6, "deceleration": 48.65, "rotation_down": 55.44, "downward_expansion": 46.27 }, "activity_lines": [ 55.309531, 57.131999, 58.696143, 58.416264 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 53.799999, "trend_reference": 58.094082, "distance_from_trend": -0.073916, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 50.831655, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.058396, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -41.222213, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.036221, "excess_performance": -0.477593, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.073916, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.013748, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.058396, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.123903, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.412222, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.023278, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.036221, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.326688, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 6238310, "relative_activity": 0.595627, "balance": 1.326688, "dry_up": 0.842421, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.143001, "annualized_volatility": 0.526898, "from_high_reference": -0.492702, "from_low_reference": 0.101331 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 58.094082, "fair_value_reference": 50.831655, "structural_low": 48.849998, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": 0.090349, "positive_rate": 0.642857, "directional_follow_through": 0.642857, "median_excess_return": 0.022838, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.353303, "worst_return": -0.138943, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.237113, "positive_rate": 0.714286, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": 0.116952, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.94041, "worst_return": -0.145981, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.231293, "positive_rate": 0.8, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": 0.100335, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.353303, "worst_return": -0.143066, "sufficient": true }, { 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"volume": 7655473, "typical_volume": 10082644.6, "trend": 58.316709, "fair_value": 50.515647, "relative_strength": -39.851879, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -18.357177, "energy": 11.570329, "activity_lines": [ 58.083904, 58.87269, 59.474209, 58.874166 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 55.599998, "volume": 9275785, "typical_volume": 10308234.45, "trend": 58.180763, "fair_value": 50.668971, "relative_strength": -37.866755, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -10.854831, "energy": 14.446726, "activity_lines": [ 56.696873, 58.062293, 59.173346, 58.698894 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 53.799999, "volume": 6238310, "typical_volume": 10473509.4, "trend": 58.094082, "fair_value": 50.831655, "relative_strength": -41.222213, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -17.49188, "energy": 28.746091, "activity_lines": [ 55.309531, 57.131999, 58.696143, 58.416264 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }