{ "ticker": { "uuid": "e0cdf840-c1b8-4d0a-acb9-e716283a2da3", "symbol": "GOKEX", "name": "Gokaldas Exports Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 67.577, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 47.35, "architecture_energy": 39.751, "architecture_maturity": 54.68, "architecture_confidence": 57.439, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 27.05, "rotation_up": 40.65, "upward_expansion": 65.1, "deceleration": 67.56, "rotation_down": 25.34, "downward_expansion": 17.43 }, "activity_lines": [ 817.103329, 818.422726, 778.28857, 747.517205 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 805.5, "trend_reference": 712.306669, "distance_from_trend": 0.130833, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 839.537886, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.040544, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 8.544956, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.03071, "excess_performance": 0.074419, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.130833, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.012995, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.040544, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.060684, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.08545, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.113124, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.03071, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.636807, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1527459, "relative_activity": 0.890896, "balance": 0.636807, "dry_up": 0.791257, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.069236, "annualized_volatility": 0.501348, "from_high_reference": -0.156456, "from_low_reference": 0.516949 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 712.306669, "fair_value_reference": 839.537886, "structural_low": 541.299988, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 29, "median_return": 0.021589, "positive_rate": 0.62069, "directional_follow_through": 0.62069, "median_excess_return": 0.004098, "regime_survival": 0.689655, "best_return": 0.329212, "worst_return": -0.198737, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": 0.167674, "positive_rate": 0.636364, "directional_follow_through": 0.636364, "median_excess_return": 0.10539, "regime_survival": 0.636364, "best_return": 0.781017, "worst_return": -0.238628, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.053151, "positive_rate": 0.714286, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": 0.045371, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 1.045726, "worst_return": -0.138398, 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"upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.278914, "energy": 76.116207, "activity_lines": [ 835.633333, 809.308182, 762.22619, 734.197206 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 812.299988, "volume": 813764, "typical_volume": 1760798.45, "trend": 707.238336, "fair_value": 837.581765, "relative_strength": 10.541644, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 60.290715, "energy": 50.401031, "activity_lines": [ 826.086662, 815.529089, 771.13857, 741.177743 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 805.5, "volume": 1527459, "typical_volume": 1714519.3, "trend": 712.306669, "fair_value": 839.537886, "relative_strength": 8.544956, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 47.350043, "energy": 39.751334, "activity_lines": [ 817.103329, 818.422726, 778.28857, 747.517205 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }