{ "ticker": { "uuid": "e0d13544-aceb-4a90-9d93-40c750205703", "symbol": "SHUL4", "name": "Schulz S.A.", "exchange": "SAO", "country": "BR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^BVSP", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -80.732, "architecture_energy": 84.624, "architecture_maturity": 22.713, "architecture_confidence": 89.02, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 7.68, "rotation_up": 13.32, "upward_expansion": 19.51, "deceleration": 37.67, "rotation_down": 76.12, "downward_expansion": 95.18 }, "activity_lines": [ 4.457333, 4.553657, 4.710926, 4.845298 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 4.33, "trend_reference": 4.999468, "distance_from_trend": -0.133908, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 5.086137, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.148666, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -12.217543, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.198109, "excess_performance": -0.141061, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.133908, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.002334, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.148666, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.15593, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.122175, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.043376, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.198109, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.211359, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2685500, "relative_activity": 1.33105, "balance": 0.211359, "dry_up": 1.304236, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 6 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.045659, "annualized_volatility": 0.162963, "from_high_reference": -0.234432, "from_low_reference": 0.075285 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 4.999468, "fair_value_reference": 5.086137, "structural_low": 4.28, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 23, "median_return": 0.00285, "positive_rate": 0.565217, "directional_follow_through": 0.434783, "median_excess_return": -0.009509, "regime_survival": 0.73913, "best_return": 0.378996, "worst_return": -0.173719, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.020371, "positive_rate": 0.555556, "directional_follow_through": 0.444444, "median_excess_return": 0.028268, "regime_survival": 0.444444, "best_return": 0.470814, "worst_return": -0.122445, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.013446, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.021361, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.74054, "worst_return": -0.017372, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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-10.286293, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -72.152612, "energy": 66.50467, "activity_lines": [ 4.595333, 4.656029, 4.809003, 4.925828 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 4.48, "volume": 1804500, "typical_volume": 2004600.0, "trend": 5.022973, "fair_value": 5.096152, "relative_strength": -12.360275, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -71.352307, "energy": 74.71261, "activity_lines": [ 4.542667, 4.615207, 4.765457, 4.890006 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 4.33, "volume": 2685500, "typical_volume": 2017580.0, "trend": 4.999468, "fair_value": 5.086137, "relative_strength": -12.217543, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -80.731728, "energy": 84.624248, "activity_lines": [ 4.457333, 4.553657, 4.710926, 4.845298 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }