{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "e0e2333e-cf29-455f-ab40-061ebbb9d254",
    "symbol": "PGRO",
    "name": "PUTNAM ETF TR PUTNAM FOCUSED LARGE CAP GROWTH ETF",
    "exchange": "NYSEARCA",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 67.946,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 34.321,
    "architecture_energy": 20.108,
    "architecture_maturity": 55.713,
    "architecture_confidence": 74.34,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 45.36,
        "rotation_up": 29.07,
        "upward_expansion": 50.26,
        "deceleration": 81.55,
        "rotation_down": 32.85,
        "downward_expansion": 28.26
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        45.662303
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.0
    },
    "latest_close": 47.7077,
    "trend_reference": 44.751047,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.066069,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 37.504401,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.272056,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -4.416921,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.103114,
    "excess_performance": -0.022511,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.066069,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.014165,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.272056,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.054868,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.044169,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.028098,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.103114,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.330601,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 49741,
      "relative_activity": 0.252972,
      "balance": 0.330601,
      "dry_up": 2.82319,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.035685,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.200146,
      "from_high_reference": -0.034062,
      "from_low_reference": 0.232757
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 44.751047,
      "fair_value_reference": 37.504401,
      "structural_low": 38.7,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 11,
        "median_return": -0.000332,
        "positive_rate": 0.454545,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.454545,
        "median_excess_return": -0.003903,
        "regime_survival": 0.636364,
        "best_return": 0.102776,
        "worst_return": -0.032649,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 4,
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        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": 0.004467,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.150299,
        "worst_return": -0.054728,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.157843,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.011393,
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        "worst_return": 0.087492,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
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        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
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        "worst_return": 0.209347,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "return": -0.019974,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "end": "2024-09-27",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "start": "2024-10-04",
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        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.012933,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.049781,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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        "end": "2025-05-16",
        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-05-23",
        "end": "2025-05-30",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.018707,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "return": 0.048156,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "return": -0.022479,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "typical_volume": 87884.35,
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        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
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        "typical_volume": 88435.15,
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        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
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        "energy": 85.910441,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "relative_strength": -0.827034,
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "typical_volume": 85692.05,
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        "fair_value": 36.332569,
        "relative_strength": -2.377169,
        "stage": 2,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "typical_volume": 83816.5,
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        "relative_strength": -3.442594,
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "typical_volume": 82605.85,
        "trend": 44.462384,
        "fair_value": 36.733522,
        "relative_strength": -3.21319,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 44.921723,
        "energy": 31.165897,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "typical_volume": 98796.15,
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        "fair_value": 36.865664,
        "relative_strength": -4.202966,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "typical_volume": 99642.0,
        "trend": 44.60493,
        "fair_value": 36.998726,
        "relative_strength": -3.528994,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 46.353412,
        "energy": 30.106441,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 45.5704,
        "volume": 29886,
        "typical_volume": 97543.05,
        "trend": 44.63828,
        "fair_value": 37.121663,
        "relative_strength": -5.542848,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 36.518975,
        "energy": 22.960006,
        "activity_lines": [
          46.41146,
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          45.405297
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 44.9293,
        "volume": 2087954,
        "typical_volume": 195865.7,
        "trend": 44.624923,
        "fair_value": 37.238538,
        "relative_strength": -6.152534,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 21.706693,
        "energy": 17.613066,
        "activity_lines": [
          45.857733,
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          46.250624,
          45.424073
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 45.26,
        "volume": 52874,
        "typical_volume": 196239.95,
        "trend": 44.6502,
        "fair_value": 37.362384,
        "relative_strength": -6.299366,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 10.210193,
        "energy": 14.414501,
        "activity_lines": [
          45.591953,
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          46.254223,
          45.465045
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 47.7077,
        "volume": 49741,
        "typical_volume": 196626.45,
        "trend": 44.751047,
        "fair_value": 37.504401,
        "relative_strength": -4.416921,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 34.320686,
        "energy": 20.107864,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}