{ "ticker": { "uuid": "e0eb29b5-c7de-4b41-9594-20844ca2f2f6", "symbol": "300582", "name": "Inventronics (Hangzhou), Inc.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -66.209, "architecture_energy": 76.371, "architecture_maturity": 30.985, "architecture_confidence": 84.018, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 8.54, "rotation_up": 10.12, "upward_expansion": 17.39, "deceleration": 38.54, "rotation_down": 76.4, "downward_expansion": 93.06 }, "activity_lines": [ 10.476667, 11.221455, 12.630429, 13.393226 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 11.15, "trend_reference": 14.619333, "distance_from_trend": -0.237311, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 12.533682, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.110397, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -28.03279, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.360298, "excess_performance": -0.367698, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.237311, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.060192, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.110397, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.352294, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.280328, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.138619, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.360298, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.741436, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 34988062, "relative_activity": 0.752739, "balance": 0.741436, "dry_up": 0.753915, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.148534, "annualized_volatility": 0.500301, "from_high_reference": -0.4425, "from_low_reference": 0.251403 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 14.619333, "fair_value_reference": 12.533682, "structural_low": 8.91, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 26, "median_return": -0.016132, "positive_rate": 0.423077, "directional_follow_through": 0.576923, "median_excess_return": 0.003388, "regime_survival": 0.769231, "best_return": 0.299169, "worst_return": -0.370079, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.086432, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": -0.023008, "regime_survival": 0.7, "best_return": 0.290443, "worst_return": -0.192924, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.116822, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": -0.090199, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.132342, "worst_return": -0.302854, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"2026-07-10", "close": 11.72, "volume": 35397106, "typical_volume": 47019468.25, "trend": 15.274333, "fair_value": 12.613323, "relative_strength": -30.296691, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -75.597144, "energy": 77.408342, "activity_lines": [ 12.492, 13.517455, 14.038286, 14.627527 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 9.98, "volume": 31563513, "typical_volume": 47000310.05, "trend": 15.105, "fair_value": 12.590596, "relative_strength": -34.341427, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -85.502745, "energy": 86.023839, "activity_lines": [ 11.500667, 12.722364, 13.612905, 14.285957 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 9.6, "volume": 41161431, "typical_volume": 46416441.95, "trend": 14.932333, "fair_value": 12.566839, "relative_strength": -36.691209, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -81.383375, "energy": 87.059847, "activity_lines": [ 10.654, 11.960364, 13.184952, 13.930796 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 10.23, "volume": 32457840, "typical_volume": 46256945.4, "trend": 14.78, "fair_value": 12.544628, "relative_strength": -31.031516, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.953412, "energy": 85.06901, "activity_lines": [ 10.333333, 11.448909, 12.850619, 13.627419 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 11.15, "volume": 34988062, "typical_volume": 46480982.55, "trend": 14.619333, "fair_value": 12.533682, "relative_strength": -28.03279, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.209315, "energy": 76.370763, "activity_lines": [ 10.476667, 11.221455, 12.630429, 13.393226 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }