{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "e0ed374c-3db8-422e-9aeb-5a04867541f0",
    "symbol": "688577",
    "name": "Zhe Jiang Headman Machinery Co.,Ltd.",
    "exchange": "SHH",
    "country": "CN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "000001.SS",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -60.326,
    "architecture_energy": 58.175,
    "architecture_maturity": 66.0,
    "architecture_confidence": 87.202,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 18.88,
        "rotation_up": 13.91,
        "upward_expansion": 10.4,
        "deceleration": 43.81,
        "rotation_down": 63.44,
        "downward_expansion": 81.4
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        41.658667,
        44.397161,
        47.982927,
        52.048574
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 42.299999,
    "trend_reference": 59.417008,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.288083,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 47.812077,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.115286,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -46.909968,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.440106,
    "excess_performance": -0.396902,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.288083,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.256074,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.115286,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.357905,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.4691,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.129051,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.440106,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.53783,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 7344027,
      "relative_activity": 0.843862,
      "balance": 0.53783,
      "dry_up": 0.758401,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.193028,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.803406,
      "from_high_reference": -0.697706,
      "from_low_reference": 0.174348
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 59.417008,
      "fair_value_reference": 47.812077,
      "structural_low": 36.02,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 20,
        "median_return": 0.004979,
        "positive_rate": 0.55,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.45,
        "median_excess_return": -0.011858,
        "regime_survival": 0.8,
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        "worst_return": -0.215932,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 7,
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        "positive_rate": 0.285714,
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        "median_excess_return": -0.04615,
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        "worst_return": -0.288211,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.002755,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.009321,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
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        "worst_return": -0.088015,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.398341,
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        "median_excess_return": 0.448526,
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        "best_return": 0.672796,
        "worst_return": 0.230437,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "regime": "balance",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2023-08-11",
        "end": "2023-10-20",
        "tenure": "Developing",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "end": "2024-12-27",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
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      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 39.0,
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        "typical_volume": 8653769.95,
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        "fair_value": 47.578549,
        "relative_strength": -49.822598,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 38.900002,
        "volume": 6348234,
        "typical_volume": 8566117.2,
        "trend": 61.235675,
        "fair_value": 47.67954,
        "relative_strength": -49.973792,
        "stage": 4,
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        "energy": 58.377928,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 42.299999,
        "volume": 7344027,
        "typical_volume": 8702875.8,
        "trend": 59.417008,
        "fair_value": 47.812077,
        "relative_strength": -46.909968,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}