{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "e12592e7-2a6b-49e6-a4db-341f155c2a20",
    "symbol": "EFR",
    "name": "Eaton Vance Senior Floating-Rate Trust",
    "exchange": "NYSE",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 1,
    "stage_name": "Basing",
    "phase": "1c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch",
    "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch",
    "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch",
    "confidence": 51.07,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_up",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up",
    "architecture_modifier": "Value reclamation",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": 53.745,
    "architecture_energy": 62.665,
    "architecture_maturity": 9.959,
    "architecture_confidence": 54.368,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 9.77,
        "rotation_up": 72.29,
        "upward_expansion": 64.94,
        "deceleration": 18.76,
        "rotation_down": 19.45,
        "downward_expansion": 20.94
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        10.616075,
        10.56171,
        10.496401,
        10.45858
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 10.73,
    "trend_reference": 10.473479,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.024492,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 10.612662,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.011056,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -9.794535,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.007153,
    "excess_performance": -0.118472,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.024492,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.004126,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.011056,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.016562,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.097945,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.039785,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.007153,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.266276,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 915388,
      "relative_activity": 1.487908,
      "balance": 2.266276,
      "dry_up": 0.959947,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.012826,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.089728,
      "from_high_reference": -0.025311,
      "from_low_reference": 0.081905
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 10.473479,
      "fair_value_reference": 10.612662,
      "structural_low": 9.917695,
      "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.050144,
        "positive_rate": 0.25,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.25,
        "median_excess_return": -0.020723,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": 0.025613,
        "worst_return": -0.089699,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.034191,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.026445,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.012186,
        "worst_return": -0.084412,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.000707,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.026554,
        "regime_survival": 0.666667,
        "best_return": 0.053394,
        "worst_return": -0.026434,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": 0.052649,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.001592,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.052649,
        "worst_return": 0.052649,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-08-23",
        "end": "2024-11-01",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.021355,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-11-08",
        "end": "2025-02-28",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.033227,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-03-07",
        "end": "2025-03-28",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.029182,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-04-04",
        "end": "2025-04-18",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.043309,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-04-25",
        "end": "2025-05-30",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.022119,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-06-06",
        "end": "2025-10-10",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.015141,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
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        "end": "2025-11-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.003591,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-11-14",
        "end": "2026-01-09",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.015984,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2026-01-23",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.001778,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2026-02-06",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.018717,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2026-02-27",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.032045,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "return": 0.020807,
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      {
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        "active": true
      }
    ],
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
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        "gate": "mixed",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "volume": 397160,
        "typical_volume": 681679.7,
        "trend": 10.483711,
        "fair_value": 10.583866,
        "relative_strength": -8.884717,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 23.59177,
        "energy": 35.480412,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 10.55,
        "volume": 518968,
        "typical_volume": 659580.5,
        "trend": 10.478506,
        "fair_value": 10.593698,
        "relative_strength": -7.979976,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 31.629857,
        "energy": 44.579754,
        "activity_lines": [
          10.536566,
          10.502548,
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          10.436262
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 10.57,
        "volume": 530791,
        "typical_volume": 632820.05,
        "trend": 10.475568,
        "fair_value": 10.60274,
        "relative_strength": -8.388196,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 34.662173,
        "energy": 48.688367,
        "activity_lines": [
          10.554255,
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          10.46506,
          10.442165
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 10.73,
        "volume": 915388,
        "typical_volume": 615217.95,
        "trend": 10.473479,
        "fair_value": 10.612662,
        "relative_strength": -9.794535,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 53.744818,
        "energy": 62.664805,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}