{ "ticker": { "uuid": "e12fef9f-f5f7-48b7-8075-6c00b6ce44a1", "symbol": "MAHASTEEL", "name": "Mahamaya Steel Industries Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 69.333, "architecture_energy": 43.664, "architecture_maturity": 31.912, "architecture_confidence": 81.192, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 46.9, "rotation_up": 62.97, "upward_expansion": 76.0, "deceleration": 56.2, "rotation_down": 17.95, "downward_expansion": 12.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 922.720004, 879.865455, 870.946192, 869.602367 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 1046.300049, "trend_reference": 854.89, "distance_from_trend": 0.2239, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 364.505706, "distance_from_fair_value": 1.870463, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 39.540203, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.491093, "excess_performance": 0.534802, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.2239, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.02099, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 1.870463, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.111899, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.395402, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.024108, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.491093, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 4.163808, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 142464, "relative_activity": 5.255413, "balance": 4.163808, "dry_up": 2.668036, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.097398, "annualized_volatility": 0.546908, "from_high_reference": -0.052007, "from_low_reference": 2.351377 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 854.89, "fair_value_reference": 364.505706, "structural_low": 673.950012, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 16, "median_return": -0.008062, "positive_rate": 0.4375, "directional_follow_through": 0.4375, "median_excess_return": -0.002899, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.623398, "worst_return": -0.137016, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.001635, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": -0.063725, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.89119, "worst_return": -0.167847, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.03221, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.084455, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 1.088502, "worst_return": -0.095368, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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25.682479, "activity_lines": [ 830.436674, 846.940005, 863.391909, 858.876562 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 812.599976, "volume": 39788, "typical_volume": 26191.0, "trend": 855.381667, "fair_value": 348.094168, "relative_strength": 14.469032, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -19.042823, "energy": 31.025882, "activity_lines": [ 824.289998, 840.048181, 857.448335, 856.081184 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 757.349976, "volume": 27005, "typical_volume": 23936.3, "trend": 851.219999, "fair_value": 352.503462, "relative_strength": 7.993923, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.206503, "energy": 46.435528, "activity_lines": [ 802.803325, 823.290904, 845.984999, 849.756559 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 962.099976, "volume": 80044, "typical_volume": 21543.3, "trend": 849.569999, "fair_value": 358.223655, "relative_strength": 31.586978, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 18.654643, "energy": 9.388514, "activity_lines": [ 854.416651, 845.002718, 854.371425, 856.910106 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1046.300049, "volume": 142464, "typical_volume": 27108.05, "trend": 854.89, "fair_value": 364.505706, "relative_strength": 39.540203, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 69.332623, "energy": 43.664222, "activity_lines": [ 922.720004, 879.865455, 870.946192, 869.602367 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }