{ "ticker": { "uuid": "e1329502-0058-48a6-b9bc-27b7d43b4f20", "symbol": "PGEL", "name": "PG Electroplast Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Value reclamation", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 76.877, "architecture_energy": 77.411, "architecture_maturity": 20.268, "architecture_confidence": 80.223, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The prior uptrend is attempting to re-accelerate.", "body": "Positive Trend survived a recompression and Fast Activity is strengthening again. Promotion requires renewed confirmation across the completed evidence set." }, "scores": { "balance": 18.96, "rotation_up": 78.85, "upward_expansion": 92.14, "deceleration": 42.73, "rotation_down": 9.11, "downward_expansion": 16.47 }, "activity_lines": [ 609.496675, 588.331827, 555.173816, 547.93592 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 630.650024, "trend_reference": 546.800007, "distance_from_trend": 0.153347, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 516.636519, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.220684, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 14.768543, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.078218, "excess_performance": 0.121928, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.153347, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.007043, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.220684, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.125516, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.147685, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.244292, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.078218, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.014515, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 19719024, "relative_activity": 1.627884, "balance": 2.014515, "dry_up": 1.075637, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.066933, "annualized_volatility": 0.500089, "from_high_reference": -0.021338, "from_low_reference": 0.444623 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 546.800007, "fair_value_reference": 516.636519, "structural_low": 436.549988, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.232558, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.208862, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.232558, "worst_return": 0.232558, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 1.145493, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 1.064209, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 1.145493, "worst_return": 1.145493, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 1.630687, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 1.589299, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 1.630687, "worst_return": 1.630687, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 1, 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"method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }