{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "e13cb825-53cb-4d07-9aef-d9354594de53",
    "symbol": "TCH-F157",
    "name": "Meitav Tachlit Mutual Funds Limited - ETF Stock Market Fund",
    "exchange": "TLV",
    "country": "IL",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "TA35.TA",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -53.419,
    "architecture_energy": 61.801,
    "architecture_maturity": 100.0,
    "architecture_confidence": 56.773,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 22.68,
        "rotation_up": 28.0,
        "upward_expansion": 22.5,
        "deceleration": 66.94,
        "rotation_down": 45.97,
        "downward_expansion": 67.83
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        2.4864,
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        77.327269
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 2.554,
    "trend_reference": 131.077567,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.980515,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 414.120685,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.993833,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -98.854199,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.988881,
    "excess_performance": -1.017781,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.980515,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.381303,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.993833,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.447756,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.988542,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.53002,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.988881,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.800238,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 1486542,
      "relative_activity": 0.994885,
      "balance": 1.800238,
      "dry_up": 0.654084,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 6.304921,
      "annualized_volatility": 6.282477,
      "from_high_reference": -0.993225,
      "from_low_reference": 0.20928
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 131.077567,
      "fair_value_reference": 414.120685,
      "structural_low": 2.112,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 37,
        "median_return": -0.010118,
        "positive_rate": 0.405405,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.594595,
        "median_excess_return": -0.034131,
        "regime_survival": 0.864865,
        "best_return": 0.131159,
        "worst_return": -0.286254,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 12,
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        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
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        "worst_return": -0.98921,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 7,
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        "positive_rate": 0.285714,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.714286,
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        "worst_return": -0.990823,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
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        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.011909,
        "worst_return": -0.510971,
        "sufficient": false
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    ],
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        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "end": "2024-01-05",
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "tenure": "New",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "tenure": "New",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 2102363.85,
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        "relative_strength": -99.01681,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -54.065947,
        "energy": 63.3668,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.449467,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 2.42,
        "volume": 348219,
        "typical_volume": 1905794.45,
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        "fair_value": 421.365307,
        "relative_strength": -99.015787,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -53.841826,
        "energy": 62.823089,
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          2.437333,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 2.485,
        "volume": 1529288,
        "typical_volume": 1624870.0,
        "trend": 138.3691,
        "fair_value": 417.69598,
        "relative_strength": -98.926775,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -53.622027,
        "energy": 62.290923,
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          2.448933,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 2.554,
        "volume": 1486542,
        "typical_volume": 1494185.15,
        "trend": 131.077567,
        "fair_value": 414.120685,
        "relative_strength": -98.854199,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -53.418692,
        "energy": 61.801101,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.4864,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}