{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "e153a631-6d6e-497a-8504-236f2982c529",
    "symbol": "4009",
    "name": "Middle East Healthcare Company",
    "exchange": "SAU",
    "country": "SA",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^TASI.SR",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -60.389,
    "architecture_energy": 62.337,
    "architecture_maturity": 21.135,
    "architecture_confidence": 96,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 16.06,
        "rotation_up": 16.96,
        "upward_expansion": 13.54,
        "deceleration": 40.31,
        "rotation_down": 58.81,
        "downward_expansion": 84.54
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        30.868,
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        32.49223,
        33.080312
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 31.5,
    "trend_reference": 33.660656,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.064189,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 63.313839,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.502478,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -19.136327,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.073529,
    "excess_performance": -0.0417,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.064189,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.058584,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.502478,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.036141,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.191363,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.047076,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.073529,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.310582,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 1914429,
      "relative_activity": 0.804851,
      "balance": 0.310582,
      "dry_up": 0.629198,
      "accumulation_observations": 0,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.051631,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.271189,
      "from_high_reference": -0.476309,
      "from_low_reference": 0.099093
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 33.660656,
      "fair_value_reference": 63.313839,
      "structural_low": 28.66,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 33,
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        "positive_rate": 0.454545,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.545455,
        "median_excess_return": -0.012746,
        "regime_survival": 0.878788,
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        "worst_return": -0.228718,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 11,
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        "positive_rate": 0.272727,
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        "worst_return": -0.309229,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
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        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
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        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
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        "best_return": 1.952919,
        "worst_return": -0.440035,
        "sufficient": false
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    ],
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        "return": 0.601594,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "tenure": "Extended",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-01-24",
        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "return": 0.033048,
        "active": false
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      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-17",
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      },
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      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "volume": 1499887,
        "typical_volume": 2677522.45,
        "trend": 33.927322,
        "fair_value": 64.057253,
        "relative_strength": -20.492504,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -59.842837,
        "energy": 42.970966,
        "activity_lines": [
          31.931485,
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          33.458226,
          33.71945
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 30.280001,
        "volume": 1261566,
        "typical_volume": 2499190.4,
        "trend": 33.803323,
        "fair_value": 63.791896,
        "relative_strength": -23.982783,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -75.013917,
        "energy": 58.549806,
        "activity_lines": [
          31.38169,
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          33.108132,
          33.484139
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 29.74,
        "volume": 1310587,
        "typical_volume": 2382187.9,
        "trend": 33.695989,
        "fair_value": 63.538965,
        "relative_strength": -22.895626,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -77.06334,
        "energy": 72.991207,
        "activity_lines": [
          30.765764,
          31.323842,
          32.710515,
          33.221989
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 31.5,
        "volume": 1914429,
        "typical_volume": 2378612.45,
        "trend": 33.660656,
        "fair_value": 63.313839,
        "relative_strength": -19.136327,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -60.389453,
        "energy": 62.337086,
        "activity_lines": [
          30.868,
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          32.49223,
          33.080312
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}