{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "e156e4d9-b5df-4843-87fb-cb523318aa63",
    "symbol": "SAF",
    "name": "Safran SA",
    "exchange": "VIE",
    "country": "AT",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^ATX",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 78.913,
    "architecture_energy": 56.902,
    "architecture_maturity": 24.825,
    "architecture_confidence": 74.449,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 22.32,
        "rotation_up": 58.12,
        "upward_expansion": 79.38,
        "deceleration": 59.25,
        "rotation_down": 21.03,
        "downward_expansion": 8.38
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        342.586666,
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        322.162627,
        315.444906
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Stable",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 358.299988,
    "trend_reference": 310.541221,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.153792,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 235.966227,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.518438,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -3.762385,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.186005,
    "excess_performance": 0.011758,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.153792,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.039264,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.518438,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.216542,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.037624,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.123706,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.186005,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.227273,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 0,
      "relative_activity": 0.0,
      "balance": 1.227273,
      "dry_up": 0.592885,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.050278,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.428231,
      "from_high_reference": -0.008852,
      "from_low_reference": 0.370883
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    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 310.541221,
      "fair_value_reference": 235.966227,
      "structural_low": 261.364293,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 38,
        "median_return": 0.022878,
        "positive_rate": 0.657895,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.657895,
        "median_excess_return": 0.006538,
        "regime_survival": 0.868421,
        "best_return": 0.132391,
        "worst_return": -0.120253,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 12,
        "median_return": 0.056087,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
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        "regime_survival": 0.666667,
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        "worst_return": -0.054405,
        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 7,
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "relative_strength": -20.47502,
        "stage": 4,
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        "modifier": "Structural failure",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -67.608364,
        "energy": 37.971344,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "typical_volume": 123.05,
        "trend": 300.076147,
        "fair_value": 220.581748,
        "relative_strength": -16.132958,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "typical_volume": 125.05,
        "trend": 299.23559,
        "fair_value": 221.441745,
        "relative_strength": -20.145612,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 283.911072,
        "volume": 38,
        "typical_volume": 126.95,
        "trend": 298.731255,
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        "relative_strength": -17.951513,
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        "direction": -54.380412,
        "energy": 50.251342,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 131.1,
        "trend": 298.808809,
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        "relative_strength": -13.31161,
        "stage": 4,
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        "modifier": "Early contraction",
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        "energy": 13.984749,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 299.899994,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 104.75,
        "trend": 298.870402,
        "fair_value": 224.564889,
        "relative_strength": -14.241632,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -24.895145,
        "energy": 14.421592,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 305.899994,
        "volume": 111,
        "typical_volume": 78.9,
        "trend": 299.102328,
        "fair_value": 225.663069,
        "relative_strength": -14.725945,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "trend": 300.434736,
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        "relative_strength": -11.18625,
        "stage": 3,
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        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 37.476346,
        "energy": 36.615458,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 334.100006,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 73.75,
        "trend": 301.949478,
        "fair_value": 228.17547,
        "relative_strength": -8.469551,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 39.496735,
        "energy": 59.232908,
        "activity_lines": [
          321.37333,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 357.200012,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 72.05,
        "trend": 304.085887,
        "fair_value": 229.605723,
        "relative_strength": -4.319458,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 87.293961,
        "energy": 84.571576,
        "activity_lines": [
          335.200002,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 336.100006,
        "volume": 60,
        "typical_volume": 75.05,
        "trend": 305.647518,
        "fair_value": 230.898982,
        "relative_strength": -8.544622,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 65.956433,
        "energy": 78.704897,
        "activity_lines": [
          338.673338,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 330.200012,
        "volume": 120,
        "typical_volume": 81.05,
        "trend": 306.620222,
        "fair_value": 232.156903,
        "relative_strength": -8.123762,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 63.720204,
        "energy": 73.887017,
        "activity_lines": [
          337.766675,
          327.301333,
          311.112868,
          308.663176
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 329.600006,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 57.4,
        "trend": 307.688297,
        "fair_value": 233.34744,
        "relative_strength": -9.307416,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 61.739216,
        "energy": 65.41666,
        "activity_lines": [
          335.040008,
          329.820205,
          313.641681,
          310.145743
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 340.5,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 55.7,
        "trend": 308.974667,
        "fair_value": 234.589234,
        "relative_strength": -6.022548,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 64.464247,
        "energy": 47.015882,
        "activity_lines": [
          336.060006,
          333.26364,
          317.129467,
          312.262627
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 358.299988,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 50.6,
        "trend": 310.541221,
        "fair_value": 235.966227,
        "relative_strength": -3.762385,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 78.912864,
        "energy": 56.902216,
        "activity_lines": [
          342.586666,
          338.914547,
          322.162627,
          315.444906
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}