{ "ticker": { "uuid": "e16677d8-7009-4b39-9861-ab5390fd3ca3", "symbol": "TRD", "name": "Triad Group plc", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -52.703, "architecture_energy": 62.828, "architecture_maturity": 95.0, "architecture_confidence": 56.253, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 25.61, "rotation_up": 27.97, "upward_expansion": 22.5, "deceleration": 66.95, "rotation_down": 44.19, "downward_expansion": 65.5 }, "activity_lines": [ 3.719982, 3.507312, 77.379071, 132.3555 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 3.95, "trend_reference": 193.105676, "distance_from_trend": -0.979545, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 246.442567, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.983972, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -98.459551, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.986332, "excess_performance": -1.037567, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.979545, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.312781, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.983972, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -1.109174, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.984596, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.909606, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.986332, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 19.802578, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 76453, "relative_activity": 3.903083, "balance": 19.802578, "dry_up": 1.715221, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 6.234249, "annualized_volatility": 6.40688, "from_high_reference": -0.988029, "from_low_reference": 0.39576 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 193.105676, "fair_value_reference": 246.442567, "structural_low": 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187.766088, 217.196489 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 3.246486, "volume": 4026, "typical_volume": 15575.05, "trend": 235.496514, "fair_value": 250.89004, "relative_strength": -98.85486, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.33243, "energy": 88.564703, "activity_lines": [ 3.04854, 79.912821, 165.80552, 201.6282 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 3.541622, "volume": 53483, "typical_volume": 17334.65, "trend": 226.947901, "fair_value": 249.967787, "relative_strength": -98.697808, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.328879, "energy": 88.555574, "activity_lines": [ 3.236054, 54.376835, 145.286172, 186.663369 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 3.541622, "volume": 12539, "typical_volume": 16528.3, "trend": 218.399288, "fair_value": 249.093582, "relative_strength": -98.678075, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.981093, "energy": 87.45584, "activity_lines": [ 3.37746, 33.958275, 126.178532, 172.25006 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 3.541622, "volume": 10540, "typical_volume": 15229.0, "trend": 209.850676, "fair_value": 248.20336, "relative_strength": -98.662215, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.605836, "energy": 67.485515, "activity_lines": [ 3.472757, 18.65714, 108.482597, 158.388276 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 3.7, "volume": 34858, "typical_volume": 15815.2, "trend": 201.307342, "fair_value": 247.314154, "relative_strength": -98.586546, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.169711, "energy": 66.768911, "activity_lines": [ 3.574739, 8.502226, 92.213453, 145.088232 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 3.95, "volume": 76453, "typical_volume": 19587.85, "trend": 193.105676, "fair_value": 246.442567, "relative_strength": -98.459551, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -52.702823, "energy": 62.827879, "activity_lines": [ 3.719982, 3.507312, 77.379071, 132.3555 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }