{ "ticker": { "uuid": "e16b9299-7a57-4e2b-bf21-acd7c1f697b6", "symbol": "605151", "name": "West Shanghai Automotive Service Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -61.184, "architecture_energy": 66.88, "architecture_maturity": 15.518, "architecture_confidence": 85.997, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 21.76, "rotation_up": 10.21, "upward_expansion": 14.49, "deceleration": 38.74, "rotation_down": 67.51, "downward_expansion": 85.49 }, "activity_lines": [ 17.095334, 17.669455, 18.954429, 19.332409 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 17.9, "trend_reference": 19.756667, "distance_from_trend": -0.093977, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 17.924959, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.001392, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -9.148611, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.218341, "excess_performance": -0.175137, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.093977, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.024667, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.001392, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.284191, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.091486, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.152922, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.218341, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.419201, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 6892547, "relative_activity": 0.758368, "balance": 0.419201, "dry_up": 1.072954, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.098754, "annualized_volatility": 0.397566, "from_high_reference": -0.327826, "from_low_reference": 0.236188 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 19.756667, "fair_value_reference": 17.924959, "structural_low": 14.48, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 16, "median_return": 0.010918, "positive_rate": 0.5625, "directional_follow_through": 0.4375, "median_excess_return": 0.017015, "regime_survival": 0.625, "best_return": 0.18361, "worst_return": -0.113623, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.007507, "positive_rate": 0.714286, "directional_follow_through": 0.285714, "median_excess_return": 0.000499, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 0.132872, "worst_return": -0.064415, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.054265, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.041459, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.003468, "worst_return": -0.161306, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -83.323787, "energy": 77.808243, "activity_lines": [ 17.213334, 18.214727, 19.360619, 19.641527 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 16.950001, "volume": 10561565, "typical_volume": 9159749.45, "trend": 19.789667, "fair_value": 17.922984, "relative_strength": -11.91978, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.35408, "energy": 72.966028, "activity_lines": [ 16.944667, 17.801637, 19.105524, 19.454323 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 17.9, "volume": 6892547, "typical_volume": 9088651.8, "trend": 19.756667, "fair_value": 17.924959, "relative_strength": -9.148611, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.184389, "energy": 66.880315, "activity_lines": [ 17.095334, 17.669455, 18.954429, 19.332409 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }