{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "e16db466-052c-4058-abaa-4db727b9f200",
    "symbol": "1308",
    "name": "Asia Polymer Corporation",
    "exchange": "TAI",
    "country": "TW",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-14",
    "benchmark": "^TWII",
    "stage": 1,
    "stage_name": "Basing",
    "phase": "1b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing",
    "transition": "stage_1_building",
    "transition_label": "Base still building",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -52.069,
    "architecture_energy": 48.633,
    "architecture_maturity": 7.079,
    "architecture_confidence": 91.907,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 29.58,
        "rotation_up": 15.22,
        "upward_expansion": 11.89,
        "deceleration": 37.42,
        "rotation_down": 60.54,
        "downward_expansion": 82.89
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        13.356895,
        13.719352,
        13.793947,
        14.106502
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 13.35,
    "trend_reference": 14.255068,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.063491,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 16.013776,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.166343,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -29.358878,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.029309,
    "excess_performance": -0.412063,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.063491,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.022019,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.166343,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.073317,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.293589,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.035408,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.029309,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.788106,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 7358093,
      "relative_activity": 0.290596,
      "balance": 0.788106,
      "dry_up": 0.427582,
      "accumulation_observations": 0,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.090448,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.467008,
      "from_high_reference": -0.360028,
      "from_low_reference": 0.192548
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 14.255068,
      "fair_value_reference": 16.013776,
      "structural_low": 12.25,
      "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 32,
        "median_return": -0.018251,
        "positive_rate": 0.46875,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.53125,
        "median_excess_return": -0.021286,
        "regime_survival": 0.8125,
        "best_return": 0.101728,
        "worst_return": -0.13354,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 13,
        "median_return": -0.028688,
        "positive_rate": 0.461538,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.538462,
        "median_excess_return": -0.075173,
        "regime_survival": 0.615385,
        "best_return": 0.105044,
        "worst_return": -0.19764,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": -0.100233,
        "positive_rate": 0.285714,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.714286,
        "median_excess_return": -0.119791,
        "regime_survival": 0.714286,
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        "worst_return": -0.256785,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.187875,
        "positive_rate": 0.25,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": -0.454977,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.196291,
        "worst_return": -0.315832,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "color": "red",
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        "end": "2023-08-04",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.073176,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "tenure": "Established",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "end": "2025-10-24",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.062015,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2026-01-02",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.023904,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
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      },
      {
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        "active": true
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        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 38291271.2,
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        "fair_value": 16.233746,
        "relative_strength": -23.879419,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 4.93287,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 12.55,
        "volume": 15195405,
        "typical_volume": 35328279.5,
        "trend": 14.211621,
        "fair_value": 16.160135,
        "relative_strength": -30.736595,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -35.611734,
        "energy": 22.956328,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 13.4,
        "volume": 7037842,
        "typical_volume": 32537819.25,
        "trend": 14.235822,
        "fair_value": 16.091051,
        "relative_strength": -27.215085,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -49.463575,
        "energy": 41.345288,
        "activity_lines": [
          13.483744,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-14",
        "close": 13.35,
        "volume": 7358093,
        "typical_volume": 25320713.0,
        "trend": 14.255068,
        "fair_value": 16.013776,
        "relative_strength": -29.358878,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -52.068802,
        "energy": 48.633229,
        "activity_lines": [
          13.356895,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}