{ "ticker": { "uuid": "e171f07c-c16e-472e-a13d-32dba57ad059", "symbol": "605100", "name": "Power HF Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 54.955, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -18.539, "architecture_energy": 30.398, "architecture_maturity": 3.887, "architecture_confidence": 43.041, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 45.4, "rotation_up": 17.1, "upward_expansion": 18.2, "deceleration": 59.28, "rotation_down": 61.98, "downward_expansion": 40.87 }, "activity_lines": [ 30.904667, 32.962727, 34.239524, 33.839662 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 33.060001, "trend_reference": 33.37, "distance_from_trend": -0.00929, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 16.811988, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.966454, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 14.386198, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.023756, "excess_performance": 0.06696, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.00929, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.047512, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.966454, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.509787, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.143862, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.27281, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.023756, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.022034, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 21578172, "relative_activity": 1.064463, "balance": 1.022034, "dry_up": 1.398796, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.142216, "annualized_volatility": 0.520365, "from_high_reference": -0.212857, "from_low_reference": 1.338498 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 33.37, "fair_value_reference": 16.811988, "structural_low": 23.870001, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": 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"2025-02-21", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.206288, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-02-28", "end": "2025-04-11", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.134281, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-04-18", "end": "2025-08-08", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.034386, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-08-15", "end": "2025-08-22", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.129469, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-08-29", "end": "2026-02-27", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.559816, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-03-06", "end": "2026-04-24", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.145711, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", 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41.233757, "activity_lines": [ 37.484667, 37.016727, 35.767034, 34.681103 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 28.6, "volume": 23027761, "typical_volume": 18367312.3, "trend": 33.322714, "fair_value": 16.438561, "relative_strength": 6.884151, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 4.426703, "energy": 6.996058, "activity_lines": [ 34.576667, 35.512909, 35.230014, 34.371865 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 29.5, "volume": 43450602, "typical_volume": 19626222.35, "trend": 33.377714, "fair_value": 16.554475, "relative_strength": 7.717625, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -24.142053, "energy": 25.665457, "activity_lines": [ 32.358667, 34.318961, 34.791463, 34.125238 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 29.23, "volume": 25365852, "typical_volume": 20026606.65, "trend": 33.338714, "fair_value": 16.669389, "relative_strength": 5.182578, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -25.858812, "energy": 34.53328, "activity_lines": [ 30.694667, 33.198909, 34.331449, 33.857644 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 33.060001, "volume": 21578172, "typical_volume": 20271424.45, "trend": 33.37, "fair_value": 16.811988, "relative_strength": 14.386198, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -18.538822, "energy": 30.397809, "activity_lines": [ 30.904667, 32.962727, 34.239524, 33.839662 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }