{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "e172afbc-c262-4e07-b4e1-9037a7792761",
    "symbol": "CP",
    "name": "Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited",
    "exchange": "TOR",
    "country": "CA",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GSPTSE",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 62.222,
    "architecture_energy": 52.787,
    "architecture_maturity": 48.514,
    "architecture_confidence": 81.092,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 8.92,
        "rotation_up": 56.91,
        "upward_expansion": 81.28,
        "deceleration": 62.21,
        "rotation_down": 22.9,
        "downward_expansion": 7.95
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        127.849334,
        126.991592,
        124.105012,
        121.142774
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 127.68,
    "trend_reference": 116.883681,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.092368,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 108.127663,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.180826,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 2.713829,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.165057,
    "excess_performance": 0.044636,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.092368,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.078692,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.180826,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.077447,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.027138,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.052376,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.165057,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.397439,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 5516600,
      "relative_activity": 1.09813,
      "balance": 1.397439,
      "dry_up": 1.240547,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.036037,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.196645,
      "from_high_reference": -0.031921,
      "from_low_reference": 0.328848
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 116.883681,
      "fair_value_reference": 108.127663,
      "structural_low": 106.507626,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 19,
        "median_return": -0.038936,
        "positive_rate": 0.368421,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.368421,
        "median_excess_return": -0.007638,
        "regime_survival": 0.526316,
        "best_return": 0.0507,
        "worst_return": -0.082815,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 9,
        "median_return": -0.002985,
        "positive_rate": 0.444444,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.444444,
        "median_excess_return": -0.015308,
        "regime_survival": 0.666667,
        "best_return": 0.068907,
        "worst_return": -0.07378,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.021256,
        "positive_rate": 0.6,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
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        "regime_survival": 0.4,
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        "worst_return": -0.048077,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.087946,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.068661,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
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        "worst_return": -0.050994,
        "sufficient": false
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    ],
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 5219280.0,
        "trend": 114.23165,
        "fair_value": 107.730102,
        "relative_strength": 8.715949,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 83.502174,
        "energy": 72.737111,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 130.320007,
        "volume": 7014600,
        "typical_volume": 5149400.0,
        "trend": 115.192327,
        "fair_value": 107.875468,
        "relative_strength": 7.626134,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 74.226265,
        "energy": 81.581094,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 124.519997,
        "volume": 6578700,
        "typical_volume": 5135570.0,
        "trend": 115.939433,
        "fair_value": 107.994513,
        "relative_strength": 3.347944,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 64.669389,
        "energy": 56.431834,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 127.68,
        "volume": 5516600,
        "typical_volume": 5023630.0,
        "trend": 116.883681,
        "fair_value": 108.127663,
        "relative_strength": 2.713829,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 62.221863,
        "energy": 52.787252,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}