{ "ticker": { "uuid": "e174176a-a138-448e-aa13-c71e0bf35b89", "symbol": "7613", "name": "SIIX Corporation", "exchange": "JPX", "country": "JP", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-21", "benchmark": "^N225", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 74.373, "architecture_energy": 90.148, "architecture_maturity": 20.217, "architecture_confidence": 74.389, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 8.19, "rotation_up": 82.43, "upward_expansion": 97.66, "deceleration": 41.83, "rotation_down": 8.06, "downward_expansion": 22.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 1575.533333, 1490.533687, 1427.81663, 1391.541964 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 1596.0, "trend_reference": 1355.171737, "distance_from_trend": 0.177711, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 1252.478592, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.274273, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 0.053242, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.152347, "excess_performance": -0.009388, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.177711, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.036041, "read": "Rising" 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1145.0, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 23, "median_return": -0.020266, "positive_rate": 0.391304, "directional_follow_through": 0.391304, "median_excess_return": -0.018215, "regime_survival": 0.695652, "best_return": 0.21226, "worst_return": -0.143042, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": 0.063417, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.079305, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.146972, "worst_return": -0.246606, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.155119, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.126621, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.220046, "worst_return": -0.381532, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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"activity_lines": [ 1456.4, 1406.968137, 1376.270459, 1354.407134 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 1661.0, "volume": 1323700, "typical_volume": 802130.0, "trend": 1345.70507, "fair_value": 1251.080267, "relative_strength": -0.393471, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 92.71109, "energy": 96.212191, "activity_lines": [ 1537.466667, 1456.768395, 1406.164973, 1375.393904 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-21", "close": 1596.0, "volume": 1118900, "typical_volume": 785525.0, "trend": 1355.171737, "fair_value": 1252.478592, "relative_strength": 0.053242, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 74.372852, "energy": 90.148158, "activity_lines": [ 1575.533333, 1490.533687, 1427.81663, 1391.541964 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }